Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mali U17 vs D.R. Congo U17

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U17 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-1, with Mali U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Mali U17
20%
Draws
0%
D.R. Congo U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mali U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mali U17 come out ahead of D.R. Congo U17 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Mali U17's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Mali U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mali U17, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Mali U17 Clean Sheet 20%
D.R. Congo U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mali U17 D.R. Congo U17
Matches Played 32 10
Wins 19 1
Draws 3 1
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 2.03 0.3
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.08 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Mali U17 vs D.R. Congo U17
2:0
Aug 29, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Mali U17 vs D.R. Congo U17
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mali U17 85 / 100
D.R. Congo U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mali U17 D.R. Congo U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mali U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mali U17 scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

D.R. Congo U17 has conceded goals in 89% of their last 9 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Away concern: D.R. Congo U17 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mali U17 VS D.R. Congo U17
2.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 1.67
88% Over 1.5 33%
63% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mali U17

(Home)
24 May
Senegal U17
2 : 1
Mali U17
20 May
Mali U17
2 : 1
Tanzania U17
17 May
Mozambique U17
1 : 1
Mali U17
14 May
Mali U17
0 : 0
Angola U17
18 Nov
Morocco U17
3 : 2
Mali U17
Page 1 of 7

D.R. Congo U17

(Away)
19 May
Cameroon U17
1 : 0
D.R. Congo U17
16 May
D.R. Congo U17
0 : 1
Ivory Coast U17
13 May
Uganda U17
3 : 0
D.R. Congo U17
24 Jun
D.R. Congo U17
:
Chad U17
02 Aug
Nigeria U17
4 : 0
D.R. Congo U17
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Egypt U17 -
TBD -
Kenya U17 1
Somalia U17 3
Tunisia U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudan U17 -
Morocco U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Gambia U17 -
Sierra Leone U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benin U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Ivory Coast U17 -
Gabon U17 2
Chad U17 2
TBD -
Algeria U17 -
Nigeria U17 -
TBD -
Equatorial Guinea U17 0
Congo U17 4
Ghana U17 -
TBD -
Uganda U17 3
Zambia U17 1
Guinea U17 -
TBD -
Liberia U17 1
Senegal U17 2
Reunion U17 8
Comoros U17 2
TBD -
Angola U17 -
South Africa U17 5
Namibia U17 0
TBD -
Burkina Faso U17 -
Cameroon U17 -
TBD -
Mozambique U17 1
Lesotho U17 5
D.R. Congo U17 2
Ethiopia U17 1
TBD -
Mali U17 -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
Egypt U17 7
Somalia U17 2
Tunisia U17 6
Sudan U17 3
Morocco U17 2
Gambia U17 3
Sierra Leone U17 -
TBD -
Benin U17 1
Ivory Coast U17 1
Gabon U17 2
Algeria U17 1
Nigeria U17 1
Congo U17 3
Ghana U17 3
Zambia U17 2
Guinea U17 4
Senegal U17 4
Reunion U17 5
Angola U17 2
South Africa U17 4
Burkina Faso U17 4
Cameroon U17 7
Lesotho U17 2
D.R. Congo U17 1
Mali U17 6
Final
TBD -
Egypt U17 -
Tunisia U17 3
Gambia U17 3
Sierra Leone U17 2
Ivory Coast U17 4
Gabon U17 4
Congo U17 3
Ghana U17 6
Senegal U17 5
Reunion U17 1
Burkina Faso U17 3
Cameroon U17 0
Mali U17 4