Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Mali U17 in this CAF African Championship U17 2017 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mali U17
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Mali U17 have won more games recently than Ethiopia U17.
- Mali U17 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Mali U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Mali U17, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Mali U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Ethiopia U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mali U17 | Ethiopia U17 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 16 |
| Wins | 21 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 2, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Ethiopia U17 vs Mali U17
1:2
Sep 18, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Mali U17 vs Ethiopia U17
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mali U17 67 / 100
Ethiopia U17 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mali U17 Ethiopia U17
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mali U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mali U17 found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (34 games).
Ethiopia U17 has conceded goals in 63% of their last 16 outings.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Mali U17 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Mali U17 VS Ethiopia U17
2.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Mali U17
(Home) 24 May
Senegal U17
2 : 1 Mali U17
20 May
Mali U17
2 : 1 Tanzania U17
17 May
Mozambique U17
1 : 1 Mali U17
14 May
Mali U17
0 : 0 Angola U17
18 Nov
Morocco U17
3 : 2 Mali U17
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20 May
Mali U17
2 : 1 Tanzania U17
14 May
Mali U17
0 : 0 Angola U17
08 Nov
Mali U17
0 : 3 Austria U17
05 Nov
Mali U17
3 : 0 New Zealand U17
27 Jun
Mali U17
4 : 0 Niger U17
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Ethiopia U17
(Away) 23 May
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2 Mozambique U17
19 May
Tunisia U17
0 : 1 Ethiopia U17
16 May
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2 Morocco U17
13 May
Egypt U17
0 : 0 Ethiopia U17
02 Oct
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2 Mali U17
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19 May
Tunisia U17
0 : 1 Ethiopia U17
13 May
Egypt U17
0 : 0 Ethiopia U17
18 Sept
Mali U17
2 : 0 Ethiopia U17
06 Aug
Egypt U17
1 : 3 Ethiopia U17
02 Aug
Gabon U17
3 : 0 Ethiopia U17
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Ghana U17 -
Liberia U17 -
TBD -
Burkina Faso U17 -
Benin U17 -
Sierra Leone U17 -
TBD -
Ivory Coast U17 -
Niger U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Nigeria U17 -
Algeria U17 4
Libya U17 4
TBD -
Gabon U17 -
Mali U17 -
TBD -
D.R. Congo U17 -
Chad U17 -
Egypt U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Ethiopia U17 -
Senegal U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tunisia U17 -
Morocco U17 2
Mauritania U17 1
TBD -
Guinea U17 -
Sudan U17 16
Djibouti U17 0
TBD -
Zambia U17 -
Kenya U17 -
Malawi U17 -
TBD -
Cameroon U17 -
Tanzania U17 9
Seychelles U17 0
TBD -
South Africa U17 -
Namibia U17 2
Botswana U17 2
TBD -
Congo U17 -
Angola U17 -
TBD -
Lesotho U17 -
Mauritius U17 -
Mozambique U17 -
TBD -
Zimbabwe U17 -
Comoros U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Ghana U17 6
Burkina Faso U17 5
Benin U17 2
Ivory Coast U17 4
Niger U17 3
Nigeria U17 2
Algeria U17 0
Gabon U17 1
Mali U17 12
Chad U17 0
Egypt U17 2
Ethiopia U17 5
Senegal U17 6
Tunisia U17 4
Morocco U17 2
Guinea U17 3
Sudan U17 1
Zambia U17 0
Kenya U17 1
Cameroon U17 9
Tanzania U17 3
South Africa U17 1
Namibia U17 1
Congo U17 5
Angola U17 4
Mauritius U17 0
Mozambique U17 1
Comoros U17 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Ghana U17 3
Ivory Coast U17 1
Niger U17 4
Gabon U17 3
Mali U17 4
Ethiopia U17 1
Senegal U17 1
Guinea U17 2
Sudan U17 5
Cameroon U17 7
Tanzania U17 3
Congo U17 3
Angola U17 7
Comoros U17 0
TBD -
TBD -
