Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mali U17 vs Guinea U17

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U17 2017
Wed, May 24, 2017
1 - 0
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mali U17 in this CAF African Championship U17 2017 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Mali U17
20%
Draws
51%
Guinea U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guinea U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mali U17 lately — more wins on the board than Guinea U17.
  • Win probability leans Mali U17's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Mali U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mali U17, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Mali U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Guinea U17 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mali U17 Guinea U17
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 19 13
Draws 3 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.94 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2017 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Mali U17 vs Guinea U17
1:0
Feb 26, 2015 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Mali U17 vs Guinea U17
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mali U17 49 / 100
Guinea U17 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mali U17 Guinea U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mali U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mali U17's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Guinea U17 has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Mali U17 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mali U17 VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mali U17

(Home)
24 May
Senegal U17
2 : 1
Mali U17
20 May
Mali U17
2 : 1
Tanzania U17
17 May
Mozambique U17
1 : 1
Mali U17
14 May
Mali U17
0 : 0
Angola U17
18 Nov
Morocco U17
3 : 2
Mali U17
Page 1 of 7

Guinea U17

(Away)
28 Apr
Guinea U17
0 : 1
Cameroon U17
24 Apr
Nigeria U17
0 : 1
Guinea U17
21 Apr
Guinea U17
1 : 0
Morocco U17
18 Apr
Senegal U17
1 : 2
Guinea U17
15 Apr
Guinea U17
0 : 2
Cameroon U17
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Ghana U17 1
Niger U17 0
Mali U17 1
Guinea U17 0
Final
Ghana U17 0
Mali U17 1
Niger U17 1
Guinea U17 3