Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mali U20 vs Senegal U20

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U20 2019
Sun, Feb 17, 2019
2 - 1
03:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Traore B.
75' Event
Aw S.
1' Event
Lopy D.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Mali U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Mali U20
20%
Draws
29%
Senegal U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mali U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Mali U20 haven't matched Senegal U20's recent run of results.
  • 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Senegal U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Senegal U20, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Mali U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Senegal U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mali U20 Senegal U20
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 14 19
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.63 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2019 African Games
Mali U20 vs Senegal U20
0:1
Aug 17, 2019 African Games
Senegal U20 vs Mali U20
0:0
Feb 17, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Mali U20 vs Senegal U20
2:1
Feb 3, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Senegal U20 vs Mali U20
2:0
Jun 20, 2015 World Cup U20
Senegal U20 vs Mali U20
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mali U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Senegal U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Aw S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mali U20 36 / 100
Senegal U20 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mali U20 Senegal U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Senegal U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mali U20 scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Mali U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Senegal U20 let in goals in 52% of their last 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mali U20 VS Senegal U20
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.67 Goals Conceded 0.75
83% Over 1.5 50%
67% Over 2.5 13%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mali U20

(Home)
14 Jun
Mali U20
3 : 2
Japan U20
09 Jun
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 3
Mali U20
06 Jun
France U20
1 : 2
Mali U20
03 Jun
Mali U20
1 : 2
Panama U20
06 Jul
Mali U23
1 : 0
Mali U20
Page 1 of 6

Senegal U20

(Away)
12 May
Nigeria U20
1 : 0
Senegal U20
08 May
Senegal U20
2 : 0
D.R. Congo U20
05 May
Ghana U20
1 : 0
Senegal U20
02 May
Senegal U20
1 : 1
Central Africa U20
23 Mar
Senegal U20
0 : 0
D.R. Congo U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Nigeria U20 1
Mali U20 2
Senegal U20 1
South Africa U20 0
Final
Mali U20 2
Senegal U20 1
Nigeria U20 0
South Africa U20 1