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Mali U20 vs Senegal U20

Africa Africa

African Games 2019
Thu, Aug 29, 2019
0 - 1
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Senegal U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Mali U20
20%
Draws
29%
Senegal U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mali U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Senegal U20 come out ahead of Mali U20 on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Senegal U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Senegal U20, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Mali U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Senegal U20 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mali U20 Senegal U20
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 14 19
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.63 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2019 African Games
Mali U20 vs Senegal U20
0:1
Aug 17, 2019 African Games
Senegal U20 vs Mali U20
0:0
Feb 17, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Mali U20 vs Senegal U20
2:1
Feb 3, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Senegal U20 vs Mali U20
2:0
Jun 20, 2015 World Cup U20
Senegal U20 vs Mali U20
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mali U20 36 / 100
Senegal U20 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mali U20 Senegal U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Senegal U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mali U20's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Mali U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Senegal U20 conceded in 52% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mali U20 VS Senegal U20
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.67 Goals Conceded 0.75
83% Over 1.5 50%
67% Over 2.5 13%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mali U20

(Home)
14 Jun
Mali U20
3 : 2
Japan U20
09 Jun
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 3
Mali U20
06 Jun
France U20
1 : 2
Mali U20
03 Jun
Mali U20
1 : 2
Panama U20
06 Jul
Mali U23
1 : 0
Mali U20
Page 1 of 6

Senegal U20

(Away)
12 May
Nigeria U20
1 : 0
Senegal U20
08 May
Senegal U20
2 : 0
D.R. Congo U20
05 May
Ghana U20
1 : 0
Senegal U20
02 May
Senegal U20
1 : 1
Central Africa U20
23 Mar
Senegal U20
0 : 0
D.R. Congo U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Senegal U20 1
Burkina Faso U20 2
Mali U20 0
Nigeria U20 1
Final
Burkina Faso U20 2
Nigeria U20 0
Senegal U20 1
Mali U20 0