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Mali U23 vs Burkina Faso U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International
Mon, Oct 5, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mali U23 host Burkina Faso U23 in the Friendly International. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Mali U23 have averaged 1.59 scored and 0.89 conceded recently, against Burkina Faso U23's 0.78 scored and 0.78 conceded. Head-to-head, Mali U23 have won 0 to Burkina Faso U23's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 5, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.06) point toward Mali U23. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Mali U23
30%
Draws
19%
Burkina Faso U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mali U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Burkina Faso U23 haven't matched Mali U23's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Mali U23 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Mali U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Burkina Faso U23 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mali U23 Burkina Faso U23
Matches Played 27 9
Wins 14 3
Draws 6 2
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.59 0.78
Goals Conceded 0.89 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2026 Friendly International
Mali U23 vs Burkina Faso U23
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mali U23 85 / 100
Burkina Faso U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mali U23 Burkina Faso U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mali U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mali U23's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Mali U23 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Burkina Faso U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 9 matches.

Away concern: Burkina Faso U23 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mali U23 VS Burkina Faso U23
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mali U23

(Home)
01 Oct
Morocco U23
1 : 1
Mali U23
18 Nov
Indonesia U23
2 : 2
Mali U23
15 Nov
Indonesia U23
0 : 3
Mali U23
19 Jul
FC Bobigny 93
0 : 3
Mali U23
06 Jul
Mali U23
1 : 0
Mali U20
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Burkina Faso U23

(Away)
29 Oct
Senegal U23
1 : 0
Burkina Faso U23
23 Oct
Burkina Faso U23
0 : 0
Senegal U23
27 Sept
Gambia U23
1 : 2
Burkina Faso U23
21 Sept
Burkina Faso U23
0 : 1
Gambia U23
18 Sept
Senegal U23
1 : 0
Burkina Faso U23
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