Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mali U23 vs D.R. Congo U23

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23 2019
Mon, Sep 9, 2019
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Africa Cup of Nations U23 2019. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Mali U23 at 1.61 goals for, 0.96 against; D.R. Congo U23 at 0.64 for, 1.36 against. Head-to-head, Mali U23 have won 0 to D.R. Congo U23's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 9, 2019, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.44 - 0.66) back Mali U23 to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Mali U23
15%
Draws
27%
D.R. Congo U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mali U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • D.R. Congo U23 haven't matched Mali U23's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Mali U23 taking it.
  • Mali U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Mali U23 Clean Sheet 20%
D.R. Congo U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mali U23 D.R. Congo U23
Matches Played 28 11
Wins 14 2
Draws 6 2
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.61 0.64
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.66
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Mali U23 vs D.R. Congo U23
0:0
Sep 5, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U23
D.R. Congo U23 vs Mali U23
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mali U23 85 / 100
D.R. Congo U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mali U23 D.R. Congo U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mali U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mali U23 found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Mali U23 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

D.R. Congo U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 11 matches.

D.R. Congo U23 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mali U23 VS D.R. Congo U23
1.88 Goals Scored 0.2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 20%
63% Over 2.5 20%
50% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Mali U23

(Home)
18 Nov
Indonesia U23
2 : 2
Mali U23
15 Nov
Indonesia U23
0 : 3
Mali U23
19 Jul
FC Bobigny 93
0 : 3
Mali U23
06 Jul
Mali U23
1 : 0
Mali U20
02 Jul
Mali U23
2 : 0
Mali U20
Page 1 of 6

D.R. Congo U23

(Away)
30 Mar
Algeria U23
1 : 0
D.R. Congo U23
27 Mar
Algeria U23
1 : 0
D.R. Congo U23
30 Oct
Algeria U23
3 : 1
D.R. Congo U23
23 Oct
D.R. Congo U23
4 : 1
Algeria U23
27 Sept
D.R. Congo U23
1 : 0
Ethiopia U23
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Angola U23 1
South Africa U23 6
Mozambique U23 0
Zimbabwe U23 2
Malawi U23 0
Zambia U23 2
Burundi U23 1
Congo U23 2
Ghana U23 4
Gabon U23 0
Equatorial Guinea U23 1
Algeria U23 3
Cameroon U23 -
Sierra Leone U23 -
South Sudan U23 0
Tunisia U23 1
Niger U23 2
Ivory Coast U23 8
Guinea U23 2
Senegal U23 1
Sudan U23 2
Kenya U23 0
Libya U23 2
Nigeria U23 4
D.R. Congo U23 0
Morocco U23 6
Ethiopia U23 1
Mali U23 5
Final
South Africa U23 5
Zimbabwe U23 0
Zambia U23 5
Congo U23 4
Ghana U23 2
Algeria U23 1
Cameroon U23 2
Tunisia U23 2
Ivory Coast U23 2
Guinea U23 2
Sudan U23 1
Nigeria U23 5
Morocco U23 1
Mali U23 2