Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mali U23 vs Senegal U23

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23
Mali U23 Logo

Mali U23

3 - 0
FT
Senegal U23 Logo

Senegal U23

Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Diallo H.
67' Event
Doumbia K.
73' Event
Sangare M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Mali U23
20%
Draws
35%
Senegal U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mali U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Mali U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Mali U23 a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Mali U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mali U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Mali U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Senegal U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mali U23 Senegal U23
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.61 1
Goals Conceded 0.96 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Mali U23 vs Senegal U23
3:0
Mar 22, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Senegal U23 vs Mali U23
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mali U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Diallo H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Doumbia K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6

Senegal U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mali U23 95 / 100
Senegal U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mali U23 Senegal U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mali U23 scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Mali U23 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Senegal U23 has conceded goals in 62% of their last 26 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mali U23 VS Senegal U23
1.63 Goals Scored 1.2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.8
75% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 40%
38% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Mali U23

(Home)
18 Nov
Indonesia U23
2 : 2
Mali U23
15 Nov
Indonesia U23
0 : 3
Mali U23
19 Jul
FC Bobigny 93
0 : 3
Mali U23
06 Jul
Mali U23
1 : 0
Mali U20
02 Jul
Mali U23
2 : 0
Mali U20
Page 1 of 6

Senegal U23

(Away)
28 Mar
Mali U23
3 : 0
Senegal U23
22 Mar
Senegal U23
3 : 1
Mali U23
29 Oct
Senegal U23
1 : 0
Burkina Faso U23
23 Oct
Burkina Faso U23
0 : 0
Senegal U23
12 Aug
Cameroon U23
0 : 2
Senegal U23
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Guinea Bissau U23 2
Niger U23 4
TBD -
Ivory Coast U23 -
Sudan U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Benin U23 -
Tanzania U23 3
South Sudan U23 3
TBD -
Nigeria U23 -
Guinea U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 3
Botswana U23 2
TBD -
Egypt U23 -
Sierra Leone U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia U23 -
Mauritania U23 1
Togo U23 2
TBD -
South Africa U23 -
Congo U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tunisia U23 -
Ethiopia U23 0
D.R. Congo U23 1
TBD -
Algeria U23 -
Mozambique U23 5
Mauritius U23 1
TBD -
Ghana U23 -
Burkina Faso U23 2
Gambia U23 2
TBD -
Senegal U23 -
Libya U23 4
Rwanda U23 4
TBD -
Mali U23 -
Madagascar U23 12
Seychelles U23 1
TBD -
Gabon U23 -
Angola U23 8
Namibia U23 1
TBD -
Cameroon U23 -
Semi-finals
Niger U23 1
Ivory Coast U23 1
Sudan U23 3
Benin U23 3
Tanzania U23 1
Nigeria U23 3
Guinea U23 -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 0
Egypt U23 1
Sierra Leone U23 1
Zambia U23 2
Togo U23 2
South Africa U23 2
Congo U23 2
Tunisia U23 2
D.R. Congo U23 5
Algeria U23 4
Mozambique U23 1
Ghana U23 4
Burkina Faso U23 0
Senegal U23 1
Rwanda U23 1
Mali U23 2
Madagascar U23 0
Gabon U23 5
Angola U23 2
Cameroon U23 3
Final
Niger U23 2
Sudan U23 1
Nigeria U23 0
Guinea U23 2
Egypt U23 2
Zambia U23 0
South Africa U23 1
Congo U23 1
Algeria U23 1
Ghana U23 2
Senegal U23 3
Mali U23 4
Gabon U23 2
Cameroon U23 1