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Mali vs Guinea Bissau

World World

Friendly International 2022
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AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2022 game between Mali and Guinea Bissau finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Mali
30%
Draws
31%
Guinea Bissau
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mali

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mali come out ahead of Guinea Bissau on wins alone.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Mali taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Mali Clean Sheet 20%
Guinea Bissau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mali Guinea Bissau
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 13 4
Draws 11 7
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.29 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.58 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Guinea Bissau vs Mali
0:0
Oct 11, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Mali vs Guinea Bissau
1:0
Jan 6, 2024 Friendly International
Mali vs Guinea Bissau
6:2
Aug 22, 2022 Friendly International
Mali vs Guinea Bissau
0:0
Aug 4, 2019 African Nations Championship
Mali vs Guinea Bissau
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mali 49 / 100
Guinea Bissau 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mali Guinea Bissau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mali Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guinea Bissau let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Mali has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Guinea Bissau's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mali VS Guinea Bissau
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mali

(Home)
04 Jun
Iran
2 : 0
Mali
31 Mar
Russia
0 : 0
Mali
09 Jan
Mali
0 : 1
Senegal
03 Jan
Mali
2 : 1
Tunisia
29 Dec
Comoros
0 : 0
Mali
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Guinea Bissau

(Away)
31 Mar
Burkina Faso
1 : 1
Guinea Bissau
28 Mar
Burkina Faso
5 : 0
Guinea Bissau
12 Oct
Egypt
1 : 0
Guinea Bissau
08 Oct
Ethiopia
1 : 0
Guinea Bissau
08 Sept
Guinea Bissau
2 : 0
Djibouti
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