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Mali W vs Cape Verde W

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women
Mali W Logo

Mali W

2 - 4
FT
Cape Verde W Logo

Cape Verde W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 2-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Mali W
35%
Draws
19%
Cape Verde W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mali W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Mali W have won more games recently than Cape Verde W.
  • Win probability leans Mali W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Mali W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cape Verde W, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Mali W have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Mali W Clean Sheet 68%
Cape Verde W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mali W Cape Verde W
Matches Played 30 17
Wins 11 4
Draws 8 3
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.97 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Mali W vs Cape Verde W
3:2
Oct 28, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Mali W vs Cape Verde W
2:4
Oct 24, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Cape Verde W vs Mali W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mali W 95 / 100
Cape Verde W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mali W Cape Verde W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mali W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cape Verde W let in goals in 88% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Mali W found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Mali W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mali W VS Cape Verde W
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mali W

(Home)
06 Aug
Mali W
1 : 1
Ghana W
02 Aug
Mali W
3 : 2
Cape Verde W
29 Jul
Cameroon W
2 : 1
Mali W
20 Jul
Mali W
0 : 1
Ivory Coast W
07 Jun
Burkina Faso W
2 : 2
Mali W
Page 1 of 6

Cape Verde W

(Away)
06 Aug
Cape Verde W
1 : 1
Cameroon W
02 Aug
Mali W
3 : 2
Cape Verde W
29 Jul
Ghana W
2 : 0
Cape Verde W
21 Jul
Morocco W
5 : 0
Cape Verde W
08 Jun
Ivory Coast W
0 : 0
Cape Verde W
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Angola W 4
Zimbabwe W 3
Malawi W -
Congo W -
Botswana W 0
D.R. Congo W 2
TBD -
South Africa W -
Tanzania W 4
Equatorial Guinea W 2
Uganda W 2
Ethiopia W 3
Eswatini W 0
Namibia W 4
TBD -
Zambia W -
Burundi W 1
Burkina Faso W 5
Djibouti W 0
Togo W 10
South Sudan W 0
Algeria W 8
TBD -
Cameroon W -
Rwanda W 2
Egypt W 3
TBD -
Ghana W -
Kenya W 1
Tunisia W 0
Niger W 1
Gambia W 4
Benin W 5
Sierra Leone W 2
TBD -
Nigeria W -
Guinea W 3
Cape Verde W 6
Gabon W 1
Mali W 10
Chad W -
Senegal W -
TBD -
Ivory Coast W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Angola W 0
Malawi W 2
D.R. Congo W 1
South Africa W 2
Tanzania W 3
Ethiopia W 0
Namibia W 2
Zambia W 7
Burkina Faso W 3
Togo W 0
Algeria W 3
Cameroon W 1
Egypt W 0
Ghana W 7
Kenya W 4
Gambia W 1
Benin W 1
Nigeria W 3
Cape Verde W 4
Mali W 3
Senegal W 1
Ivory Coast W 0
TBD -
TBD -