Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the Africa Cup of Nations Women 2018. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Sierra Leone W have shipped 1.44 goals a game lately, while Mali W have conceded 1.13 and scored 2.16. Past meetings favor Sierra Leone W slightly — 0-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 29, 2025, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.48 vs 1.19, favoring Mali W. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Mali W carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Mali W's way, sitting at 42%.
- Mali W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sierra Leone W, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mali W | Sierra Leone W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 18 |
| Wins | 12 | 3 |
| Draws | 9 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.16 | 0.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.48 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sierra Leone W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 14 matches.
Mali W found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Mali W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
These sides typically produce 0.33 goals when they meet.