Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mali W vs Sierra Leone W Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women 2018
Tue, Apr 10, 2018
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Africa Cup of Nations Women 2018. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Sierra Leone W have shipped 1.44 goals a game lately, while Mali W have conceded 1.13 and scored 2.16. Past meetings favor Sierra Leone W slightly — 0-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 29, 2025, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.48 vs 1.19, favoring Mali W. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Mali W
30%
Draws
47%
Sierra Leone W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sierra Leone W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Mali W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Mali W's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Mali W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sierra Leone W, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Mali W Clean Sheet 20%
Sierra Leone W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mali W Sierra Leone W
Matches Played 31 18
Wins 12 3
Draws 9 3
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2.16 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 0.48 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2025 Friendly International Women
Mali W vs Sierra Leone W
0:1
Apr 10, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Mali W vs Sierra Leone W
0:0
Apr 7, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Sierra Leone W vs Mali W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mali W 42 / 100
Sierra Leone W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mali W Sierra Leone W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sierra Leone W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 14 matches.

Mali W found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Mali W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 0.33 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Mali W VS Sierra Leone W
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.33
50% Over 1.5 33%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mali W

(Home)
06 Aug
Mali W
1 : 1
Ghana W
02 Aug
Mali W
3 : 2
Cape Verde W
29 Jul
Cameroon W
2 : 1
Mali W
20 Jul
Mali W
0 : 1
Ivory Coast W
07 Jun
Burkina Faso W
2 : 2
Mali W
Page 1 of 7

Sierra Leone W

(Away)
31 May
Sierra Leone W
1 : 0
Senegal W
29 May
Mali W
0 : 1
Sierra Leone W
26 May
Senegal W
1 : 1
Sierra Leone W
24 May
Sierra Leone W
3 : 1
Guinea W
22 May
Sierra Leone W
0 : 3
Gambia W
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Algeria W 3
Senegal W 2
Libya W 0
Ethiopia W 15
Ivory Coast W 1
Morocco W 1
Sierra Leone W -
Mali W -
Gambia W 4
Burkina Faso W 3
TBD -
Nigeria W -
Congo W 3
Central Africa W 1
TBD -
Cameroon W -
Kenya W 1
Uganda W 0
TBD -
Equatorial Guinea W -
Lesotho W 3
Eswatini W 1
TBD -
South Africa W -
Zambia W 4
Tanzania W 4
Namibia W 0
Zimbabwe W 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Algeria W 6
Ethiopia W 3
Ivory Coast W 2
Mali W 2
Gambia W 0
Nigeria W 7
Congo W 0
Cameroon W 10
Kenya W 2
Equatorial Guinea W 3
Lesotho W 0
South Africa W 7
Zambia W 2
Zimbabwe W 2
TBD -
TBD -