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Stadium Background

Mali W vs Sierra Leone W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Salamatu K.

AI Match Summary

Sierra Leone W in this Friendly International Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sierra Leone W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Mali W
30%
Draws
47%
Sierra Leone W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sierra Leone W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Sierra Leone W haven't matched Mali W's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Mali W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Mali W Clean Sheet 20%
Sierra Leone W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mali W Sierra Leone W
Matches Played 30 18
Wins 11 3
Draws 8 3
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.97 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2025 Friendly International Women
Mali W vs Sierra Leone W
0:1
Apr 10, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Mali W vs Sierra Leone W
0:0
Apr 7, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Sierra Leone W vs Mali W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mali W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

Sierra Leone W Compare

Top Goalscorer Salamatu K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mali W 42 / 100
Sierra Leone W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mali W Sierra Leone W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sierra Leone W has conceded goals in 86% of their last 14 outings.

Mali W scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: Mali W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 0.33 goals.

Scoring Trends

Mali W VS Sierra Leone W
1 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.33
63% Over 1.5 33%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mali W

(Home)
06 Aug
Mali W
1 : 1
Ghana W
02 Aug
Mali W
3 : 2
Cape Verde W
29 Jul
Cameroon W
2 : 1
Mali W
20 Jul
Mali W
0 : 1
Ivory Coast W
07 Jun
Burkina Faso W
2 : 2
Mali W
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Sierra Leone W

(Away)
31 May
Sierra Leone W
1 : 0
Senegal W
29 May
Mali W
0 : 1
Sierra Leone W
26 May
Senegal W
1 : 1
Sierra Leone W
24 May
Sierra Leone W
3 : 1
Guinea W
22 May
Sierra Leone W
0 : 3
Gambia W
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