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Mali W vs Zambia W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Women 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Mali W
15%
Draws
51%
Zambia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zambia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Zambia W have won more games recently than Mali W.
  • Zambia W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Mali W Clean Sheet 16%
Zambia W Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mali W Zambia W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.97 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2025 Friendly International Women
Mali W vs Zambia W
1:1
Oct 31, 2023 Olympic Games Women
Zambia W vs Mali W
0:0
Oct 23, 2023 Olympic Games Women
Mali W vs Zambia W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mali W 19 / 100
Zambia W 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mali W Zambia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zambia W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mali W scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Zambia W let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Difficult form: Zambia W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 0.67 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Mali W VS Zambia W
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mali W

(Home)
08 Oct
Benin W
3 : 1
Mali W
06 Aug
Mali W
1 : 1
Ghana W
02 Aug
Mali W
3 : 2
Cape Verde W
29 Jul
Cameroon W
2 : 1
Mali W
20 Jul
Mali W
0 : 1
Ivory Coast W
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Zambia W

(Away)
08 Oct
Uganda W
2 : 1
Zambia W
05 Aug
Malawi W
1 : 2
Zambia W
01 Aug
Nigeria W
1 : 0
Zambia W
28 Jul
Zambia W
6 : 0
Egypt W
22 Jul
Algeria W
1 : 0
Zambia W
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