Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Malkia in this Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Qalali
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
0%
/ Low Confidence
- Malkia have won more games recently than Qalali.
- Model gives Malkia a 0% chance of winning this.
- Malkia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Qalali, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Malkia have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Malkia Clean Sheet 20%
Qalali Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Malkia | Qalali |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 16 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.05 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 14, 2023 Bahrain Cup
Malkia vs Qalali
1:0
Oct 6, 2019 Bahrain Cup
Malkia vs Qalali
0:3
Jan 14, 2017 Bahrain Cup
Qalali vs Malkia
2:3
Jan 18, 2016 King's Cup
Qalali vs Malkia
0:9
Dec 30, 2013 Bahrain Cup
Qalali vs Malkia
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Malkia 85 / 100
Qalali 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Malkia Qalali
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Malkia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: Qalali registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Malkia's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 37 recent games.
Qalali's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Malkia VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Malkia
(Home) 11 Sept
Aali Club
1 : 0 Malkia
02 Sept
Malkia
0 : 1 Al-Najma
27 Aug
Sitra
3 : 0 Malkia
16 May
Sitra
1 : 0 Malkia
11 May
Malkia
0 : 2 Al Riffa
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02 Sept
Malkia
0 : 1 Al-Najma
11 May
Malkia
0 : 2 Al Riffa
28 Apr
Malkia
3 : 0 Al-Najma
18 Apr
Malkia
1 : 0 Al-Shabbab
14 Mar
Malkia
0 : 1 Aali Club
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Qalali
(Away) 24 Jan
Al-Hala
3 : 0 Qalali
17 Jan
Busaiteen
2 : 0 Qalali
13 Jan
Qalali
2 : 7 Al-Ahli
08 Dec
Al-Muharraq
1 : 0 Qalali
18 Nov
Al-Muharraq
8 : 0 Qalali
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24 Jan
Al-Hala
3 : 0 Qalali
17 Jan
Busaiteen
2 : 0 Qalali
08 Dec
Al-Muharraq
1 : 0 Qalali
18 Nov
Al-Muharraq
8 : 0 Qalali
15 Oct
Isa Town
1 : 2 Qalali
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hidd | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Al Riffa | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:10 | 10 |
| 3 | Ali CSC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:10 | 7 |
| 4 | Al-Ittihad | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 5 | Isa Town | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:15 | 3 |
| 6 | Al-Budaiya | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:8 | 3 |
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manama Club | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Al-Ahli | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Busaiteen | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:11 | 9 |
| 4 | Al Reef | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:11 | 7 |
| 5 | Al-Najma | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 6 | Al-Ittifaq | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:15 | 0 |
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Khalidiyah | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:0 | 15 |
| 2 | Al-Shabbab | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Al-Hala | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Umm Al Hassam | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 6 |
| 5 | Qalali | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:9 | 4 |
| 6 | Malkia | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:15 | 3 |
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bahrain SC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 11 |
| 2 | Bouri | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 3 | East Riffa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:3 | 7 |
| 4 | Al-Muharraq | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13:10 | 7 |
| 5 | Sitra | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 6 | Tadamun Buri | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:18 | 3 |
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)
