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Malkia vs Umm Al Hassam - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bahrain Bahrain

Bahrain Cup 2022/2023
Malkia Logo

Malkia

0 - 3
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Umm Al Hassam Logo

Umm Al Hassam

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Umm Al Hassam in this Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Malkia
15%
Draws
85%
Umm Al Hassam
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Umm Al Hassam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Malkia have won more games recently than Umm Al Hassam.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Malkia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Umm Al Hassam, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.2%
Malkia Clean Sheet 20%
Umm Al Hassam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malkia Umm Al Hassam
Matches Played 34 12
Wins 12 4
Draws 9 0
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.97 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2022 Bahrain Cup
Malkia vs Umm Al Hassam
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malkia 31 / 100
Umm Al Hassam 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malkia Umm Al Hassam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malkia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Umm Al Hassam let in goals in 75% of their last 12 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Umm Al Hassam has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Malkia found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (34 games).

Scoring Trends

Malkia VS Umm Al Hassam
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Malkia

(Home)
11 Sept
Aali Club
1 : 0
Malkia
02 Sept
Malkia
0 : 1
Al Najma
27 Aug
Sitra
3 : 0
Malkia
16 May
Sitra
1 : 0
Malkia
11 May
Malkia
0 : 2
Al Riffa
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Umm Al Hassam

(Away)
11 Jan
Umm Al Hassam
0 : 2
Al Hala
25 Jan
Umm Al Hassam
0 : 1
Al Reef
24 Jan
Umm Al Hassam
2 : 1
East Riffa
14 Jan
Umm Al Hassam
0 : 3
Al Shabbab
07 Dec
Al Ahli
4 : 0
Umm Al Hassam
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hidd 5 5 0 0 13:2 15
2 Al Riffa 5 3 1 1 14:10 10
3 Ali CSC 5 2 1 2 8:10 7
4 Al Ittihad 5 2 0 3 8:9 6
5 Isa Town 5 1 0 4 7:15 3
6 Al Budaiya 5 1 0 4 4:8 3
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manama Club 5 5 0 0 17:2 15
2 Al Ahli 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
3 Busaiteen 5 3 0 2 10:11 9
4 Al Reef 5 2 1 2 7:11 7
5 Al Najma 5 1 0 4 6:11 3
6 Al Ittifaq 5 0 0 5 4:15 0
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Khalidiyah 5 5 0 0 14:0 15
2 Al Shabbab 5 3 1 1 10:2 10
3 Al Hala 5 2 0 3 7:6 6
4 Umm Al Hassam 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
5 Qalali 5 1 1 3 2:9 4
6 Malkia 5 1 0 4 2:15 3
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahrain SC 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
2 Bouri 5 2 2 1 5:5 8
3 East Riffa 5 2 1 2 8:3 7
4 Al Muharraq 5 2 1 2 13:10 7
5 Sitra 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
6 Tadamun Buri 5 1 0 4 4:18 3
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)