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Mallorca B vs Collerense

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Gorriti M.
54' Event
Riba C.

AI Match Summary

Mallorca B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mallorca B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Mallorca B
20%
Draws
44%
Collerense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Collerense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Mallorca B have won more games recently than Collerense.
  • Mallorca B are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mallorca B here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Mallorca B Clean Sheet 18%
Collerense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mallorca B Collerense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 5
Draws 7 8
Losses 4 17
Goals Scored 2.47 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mallorca B vs Collerense
2:0
Nov 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Mallorca B
0:5
Apr 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mallorca B vs Collerense
4:0
Nov 18, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Mallorca B
0:2
Jan 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mallorca B vs Collerense
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mallorca B Compare

Top Goalscorer Gorriti M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Riba C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Collerense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mallorca B 41 / 100
Collerense 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mallorca B Collerense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mallorca B found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Collerense has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Mallorca B stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mallorca B VS Collerense
3.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mallorca B

(Home)
13 Sept
Mallorca B
0 : 0
Deportiva Minera
06 Sept
Valencia B
1 : 1
Mallorca B
15 Aug
Mallorca B
1 : 3
Baleares
29 Jul
Mallorca B
1 : 0
Sant Andreu
25 Jul
Baleares
2 : 1
Mallorca B
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Collerense

(Away)
29 Aug
Collerense
1 : 2
Santanyi
10 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 0
Collerense
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5
Collerense
19 Apr
Constancia
4 : 0
Collerense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)