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Stadium Background

Mallorca B vs Mercadal

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Olaizola J.
7' Event
Pena A.
9' Event
Orejuela L.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Mallorca B and Mercadal finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mallorca B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Mallorca B
35%
Draws
40%
Mercadal
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mercadal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Mercadal haven't matched Mallorca B's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Mercadal a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Mallorca B have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Mallorca B Clean Sheet 20%
Mercadal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mallorca B Mercadal
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 2.3 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mallorca B vs Mercadal
7:0
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mercadal vs Mallorca B
0:2
Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mallorca B vs Mercadal
3:0
Oct 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mercadal vs Mallorca B
0:2
Apr 3, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mercadal vs Mallorca B
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mallorca B Compare

Top Goalscorer Pena A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Orejuela L.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Mercadal Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mallorca B 28 / 100
Mercadal 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mallorca B Mercadal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mercadal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mallorca B's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Mercadal let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Mallorca B has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mallorca B VS Mercadal
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mallorca B

(Home)
27 Sept
La Nucia
2 : 0
Mallorca B
20 Sept
Real Murcia B
0 : 1
Mallorca B
13 Sept
Mallorca B
0 : 0
Deportiva Minera
06 Sept
Valencia B
1 : 1
Mallorca B
15 Aug
Mallorca B
1 : 3
Baleares
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Mercadal

(Away)
26 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Mercadal
19 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 2
Arenal
12 Sept
Inter Ibiza
0 : 2
Mercadal
05 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 1
Formentera
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2
Alcudia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)