Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Sub
Rendall T. In: Saravia Renzo
Out: Rendall T.
41'
41'
Dimitrievski S.
49'
49'
Costa S.
Assist: Darder S.
AI Match Summary
The LaLiga 2025/2026 game between Mallorca and Valencia finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
17%
13%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Mallorca
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Valencia carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Mallorca's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Mallorca Clean Sheet 68%
Valencia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mallorca | Valencia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 21, 2026 LaLiga
Mallorca vs Valencia
1:1
Dec 19, 2025 LaLiga
Valencia vs Mallorca
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 LaLiga
Valencia vs Mallorca
1:0
Nov 29, 2024 LaLiga
Mallorca vs Valencia
2:1
Mar 30, 2024 LaLiga
Valencia vs Mallorca
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mallorca Compare
Top Goalscorer Costa S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Valencia Compare
Top Goalscorer Sadiq U.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mallorca 77 / 100
Valencia 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mallorca Valencia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mallorca's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Valencia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Solid form: Mallorca remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Mallorca VS Valencia
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Mallorca
(Home) 30 Jul
Mallorca
4 : 2 Al Ittihad
25 Jul
Mallorca
3 : 0 Al Fateh
23 May
Mallorca
3 : 0 Real Oviedo
17 May
Levante
2 : 0 Mallorca
13 May
Getafe
3 : 1 Mallorca
Page 1 of 6
30 Jul
Mallorca
4 : 2 Al Ittihad
25 Jul
Mallorca
3 : 0 Al Fateh
23 May
Mallorca
3 : 0 Real Oviedo
10 May
Mallorca
1 : 1 Villarreal
21 Apr
Mallorca
1 : 1 Valencia
Page 1 of 3
Valencia
(Away) 01 Aug
Stoke City
1 : 1 Valencia
28 Jul
Derby
1 : 2 Valencia
25 Jul
Valencia
1 : 2 Castellon
22 Jul
Valencia
3 : 0 Eldense
18 Jul
Petro Atletico
3 : 1 Valencia
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Stoke City
1 : 1 Valencia
28 Jul
Derby
1 : 2 Valencia
18 Jul
Petro Atletico
3 : 1 Valencia
17 May
Real Sociedad
3 : 4 Valencia
10 May
Ath Bilbao
0 : 1 Valencia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 72 |
| 4 | Atl. Madrid | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 69 |
| 5 | Betis | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 60 |
| 6 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | 46 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | 46 |
| 12 | Ath Bilbao | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | 45 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | 43 |
| 14 | Alaves | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | 43 |
| 15 | Elche | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | 43 |
| 16 | Levante | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | 42 |
| 17 | Osasuna | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | 42 |
| 18 | Mallorca | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | 29 |
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 (Main)
