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Mallorca vs Valladolid - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Palma de Mallorca
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Calatayud M.
45'
Darder S.
60'
Torres D.

AI Match Summary

The LaLiga2 game between Mallorca and Valladolid finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mallorca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Mallorca
35%
Draws
32%
Valladolid
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mallorca come out ahead of Valladolid on wins alone.
  • Mallorca are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular LaLiga2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Mallorca here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Mallorca Clean Sheet 68%
Valladolid Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mallorca Valladolid
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.36 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 LaLiga2
Mallorca vs Valladolid
2:0
May 10, 2025 LaLiga
Mallorca vs Valladolid
2:1
Sep 27, 2024 LaLiga
Valladolid vs Mallorca
1:2
Apr 9, 2023 LaLiga
Valladolid vs Mallorca
3:3
Jan 7, 2023 LaLiga
Mallorca vs Valladolid
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mallorca Compare

Top Goalscorer Torre P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Raillo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Valladolid Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mallorca 50 / 100
Valladolid 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mallorca Valladolid

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mallorca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mallorca's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Valladolid has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Mallorca went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mallorca VS Valladolid
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mallorca

(Home)
04 Oct
Girona
0 : 0
Mallorca
27 Sept
Mallorca
0 : 1
Almeria
19 Sept
Real Sociedad B
0 : 1
Mallorca
13 Sept
Mallorca
2 : 0
Sabadell
05 Sept
Eldense
0 : 0
Mallorca
Page 1 of 6

Valladolid

(Away)
04 Oct
Las Palmas
2 : 2
Valladolid
27 Sept
Valladolid
3 : 1
Cordoba
20 Sept
AD Ceuta
1 : 1
Valladolid
13 Sept
Valladolid
0 : 3
Real Oviedo
05 Sept
Valladolid
1 : 0
FC Andorra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eibar 8 7 0 1 18:7 21
2 Castellon 8 6 2 0 15:3 20
3 Almeria 8 6 0 2 13:5 18
4 Girona 8 4 2 2 14:8 14
5 Mallorca 8 4 2 2 8:3 14
6 Burgos CF 8 4 2 2 12:9 14
7 Sabadell 8 3 4 1 8:6 13
8 Gijon 8 4 1 3 8:8 13
9 Granada CF 8 3 2 3 13:13 11
10 Real Oviedo 8 3 2 3 8:8 11
11 Las Palmas 8 3 2 3 12:13 11
12 Tenerife 8 3 2 3 10:12 11
13 Leganes 8 3 2 3 6:11 11
14 Valladolid 8 2 3 3 8:11 9
15 Cordoba 8 3 0 5 13:18 9
16 Real Sociedad B 8 2 2 4 11:13 8
17 Eldense 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
18 Celta Vigo B 8 2 2 4 10:14 8
19 Cadiz 8 1 4 3 11:10 7
20 FC Andorra 8 2 1 5 12:15 7
21 AD Ceuta 8 1 2 5 7:18 5
22 Albacete 8 0 1 7 5:15 1
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