Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Malmin Ponnistajat vs EsPa

Finland Finland

Suomen Cup 2013
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Tikka M.
Own Goal
29' Event
Hagelberg S.
52' Event
Hagelberg S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with EsPa advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Malmin Ponnistajat
6%
Draws
90%
EsPa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: EsPa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and EsPa come out ahead of Malmin Ponnistajat on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans EsPa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • EsPa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor EsPa, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Malmin Ponnistajat Clean Sheet 10%
EsPa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malmin Ponnistajat EsPa
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 8
Draws 8 2
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 0.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.25 3.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 3.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2013 Suomen Cup
Malmin Ponnistajat vs EsPa
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malmin Ponnistajat Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

EsPa Compare

Top Goalscorer Hagelberg S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vilkki J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malmin Ponnistajat 10 / 100
EsPa 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malmin Ponnistajat EsPa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: EsPa conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Malmin Ponnistajat scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Difficult form: EsPa registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malmin Ponnistajat VS EsPa
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 3.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Malmin Ponnistajat

(Home)
16 Apr
Malmin Ponnistajat
0 : 4
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ)
17 May
HooGee
2 : 0
Malmin Ponnistajat
07 May
ToBK
1 : 2
Malmin Ponnistajat
10 May
Malmin Ponnistajat
1 : 2
Poxyt
14 Sept
Malmin Ponnistajat
1 : 2
Honka
Page 1 of 6

EsPa

(Away)
29 May
Klubi 04
8 : 2
EsPa
06 May
EsPa
1 : 0
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ)
09 Apr
EsPa 2
0 : 6
EsPa
16 Apr
EsPa
0 : 1
Honka
07 May
NuPS
2 : 1
EsPa
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
JJK Jyvaskyla-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Klubi 047
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit Akatemia (PPJ Akatemia) 20
Espoo0
HIFK2
Atlantis1
Orimattilan Pedot0
PPV/11
BK-463
PS Kemi2
AC Kajaani1
AC Oulu0
JBK3
IFK Jakobstad1
Aanekosken Huima0
KPV Kokkola0
GBK Kokkola3
PK-35 Vantaa ""Inactive"6
HerTo0
SAPA0
Lahti/694
VIFK1
SJK0
TBD-
VPS-
Haka2
Ilves0
SalPa1
MaPS2
Kiffen1
Hyvinkaan Palloseura (HyPS)0
I-HK0
KaPa4
TP-478
Muurola0
SC Riverball0
KuFu-988
Pallo-Iirot5
Boda1
Hameenlinna1
TPV6
Lahti-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
KuPS-
Mariehamn-
TBD-
Malmin Ponnistajat0
EsPa4
Sudet5
Purha II0
Peltirumpu0
KTP6
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TPS-
FC KooTeePee7
Voikkaan0
EBK2
FC Kontu4
Gnistan6
Jokerit FC0
HIFK III0
Pallohonka9
MyPa-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Futura2
HPS1
TBD-
Honka-
Jazz Pori3
Mynamaen Pallo-530
NePa2
Harma3
Keski-Uusimaa4
Tuusulan Palloseura0
JaPS2
Viikingit 24
LPS6
HIFK 20
Toolon Taisto0
Ekenas IF1
PK-372
Santa Claus1
Mikkelin1
Jippo2
HJK-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jaro-
Inter Turku-
TBD-
Tervakosken Pato1
VaKP2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
RoPS Rovaniemi-
1/32-finals
JJK Jyvaskyla-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Klubi 042
HIFK1
Atlantis3
BK-464
PS Kemi2
JBK1
IFK Jakobstad0
GBK Kokkola8
PK-35 Vantaa ""Inactive"1
Lahti/690
VIFK0
VPS2
Haka4
MaPS0
Kiffen2
KaPa3
TP-474
KuFu-981
Pallo-Iirot0
TPV2
Lahti-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
KuPS-
Mariehamn2
EsPa0
Sudet0
KTP2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TPS-
FC KooTeePee3
FC Kontu0
Gnistan1
Pallohonka2
MyPa-
TBD-
FC Futura1
Honka5
Jazz Pori7
Harma0
Keski-Uusimaa0
Viikingit 21
LPS3
Ekenas IF1
PK-370
Jippo2
HJK-
TBD-
TBD-
Jaro-
Inter Turku9
VaKP0
TBD-
RoPS Rovaniemi-
1/16-finals
JJK Jyvaskyla-
TBD-
Klubi 040
BK-461
PS Kemi3
GBK Kokkola0
PK-35 Vantaa ""Inactive"1
VPS2
Haka4
KaPa0
TP-472
TPV4
Lahti-
TBD-
TBD-
KuPS-
Mariehamn4
KTP0
TBD-
TPS-
FC KooTeePee2
Pallohonka1
MyPa0
Honka1
Jazz Pori1
Viikingit 20
LPS1
Jippo2
HJK2
Jaro1
Inter Turku2
RoPS Rovaniemi3
1/8-finals
JJK Jyvaskyla1
BK-460
PS Kemi0
VPS2
Haka3
TPV1
Lahti1
KuPS2
Mariehamn3
TPS2
FC KooTeePee0
Honka1
Jazz Pori1
Jippo0
HJK0
RoPS Rovaniemi1
Quarter-finals
JJK Jyvaskyla2
VPS0
Haka1
KuPS2
Mariehamn2
Honka1
Jazz Pori0
RoPS Rovaniemi3
Semi-finals
JJK Jyvaskyla0
KuPS1
Mariehamn0
RoPS Rovaniemi4
Final
KuPS1
RoPS Rovaniemi2