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Malmo FF vs Hammarby - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Eleda Stadion, Malmö
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Malmo FF host Hammarby in the Allsvenskan. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Malmo FF at 1.78 goals for, 1.37 against; Hammarby at 1.93 for, 0.9 against. Head-to-head, Malmo FF have won 1 to Hammarby's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 4:1. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.19) point toward Hammarby. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Malmo FF
15%
Draws
49%
Hammarby
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hammarby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Hammarby have won more games recently than Malmo FF.
  • 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Malmo FF Clean Sheet 20%
Hammarby Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malmo FF Hammarby
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 13 16
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.78 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs Malmo FF
4:1
Oct 27, 2025 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Hammarby
1:3
Apr 23, 2025 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs Malmo FF
2:0
Nov 2, 2024 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs Malmo FF
2:2
Apr 7, 2024 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Hammarby
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malmo FF 36 / 100
Hammarby 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malmo FF Hammarby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hammarby Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malmo FF's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Hammarby let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Malmo FF stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malmo FF VS Hammarby
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Malmo FF

(Home)
18 Oct
Malmo FF
0 : 1
Hacken
12 Oct
Malmo FF
1 : 0
Kalmar
03 Oct
Malmo FF
3 : 0
Nordsjaelland
19 Sept
Vasteras SK
2 : 0
Malmo FF
13 Sept
Malmo FF
4 : 1
Orgryte
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Hammarby

(Away)
18 Oct
Halmstad
0 : 1
Hammarby
11 Oct
Hammarby
0 : 1
Djurgarden
03 Oct
Hammarby
1 : 0
Vasteras SK
20 Sept
Degerfors
0 : 1
Hammarby
13 Sept
Hammarby
3 : 1
Brommapojkarna
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 24 17 4 3 55:30 55
2 Djurgarden 24 15 2 7 50:21 47
3 Hammarby 24 14 4 6 50:21 46
4 Hacken 24 11 9 4 43:30 42
5 Elfsborg 24 11 8 5 37:24 41
6 Vasteras SK 24 11 5 8 35:36 38
7 Malmo FF 24 11 3 10 38:34 36
8 IFK Goteborg 24 10 6 8 34:43 36
9 AIK 24 9 7 8 38:42 34
10 GAIS 24 8 6 10 30:25 30
11 Brommapojkarna 24 8 6 10 36:43 30
12 Mjallby 24 5 8 11 28:40 23
13 Kalmar 24 6 4 14 23:38 22
14 Degerfors 24 5 5 14 21:37 20
15 Orgryte 24 4 6 14 29:54 18
16 Halmstad 24 3 5 16 16:45 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)