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Malmo FF vs Mjallby

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Eleda Stadion, Malmö
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Bergstrom J.
Assist: Granath V.
49' Event
Stroud E.
Assist: Manneh A.
54'
Sub
Botheim E. In: Gudjohnsen D. T.
Out: Botheim E.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between Malmo FF and Mjallby finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mjallby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Malmo FF
28%
Draws
22%
Mjallby
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Malmo FF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mjallby come out ahead of Malmo FF on wins alone.
  • Model gives Malmo FF a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Malmo FF Clean Sheet 68%
Mjallby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malmo FF Mjallby
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 13
Draws 4 8
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 2.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Mjallby vs Malmo FF
0:0
May 3, 2026 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Mjallby
2:3
Mar 14, 2026 Svenska Cupen
Mjallby vs Malmo FF
4:0
Aug 9, 2025 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Mjallby
1:3
Jun 30, 2025 Allsvenskan
Mjallby vs Malmo FF
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malmo FF Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Haksabanovic S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Mjallby Compare

Top Goalscorer Bergstrom J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stroud E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malmo FF 59 / 100
Mjallby 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malmo FF Mjallby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malmo FF scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Mjallby has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Malmo FF went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malmo FF VS Mjallby
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Malmo FF

(Home)
26 Jul
Malmo FF
1 : 2
Elfsborg
20 Jul
Kalmar
2 : 2
Malmo FF
12 Jul
Malmo FF
4 : 0
IFK Goteborg
04 Jul
Degerfors
0 : 1
Malmo FF
26 Jun
Malmo FF
2 : 2
Midtjylland
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Mjallby

(Away)
25 Jul
Kalmar
2 : 1
Mjallby
21 Jul
Mjallby
3 : 0
Lincoln Red Imps
17 Jul
Mjallby
0 : 0
Vasteras SK
11 Jul
Mjallby
1 : 2
AIK
03 Jul
Sirius
4 : 4
Mjallby
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sirius14122040:1738
2Hammarby1583433:1527
3Hacken1466227:2224
4Djurgarden1372427:1523
5Vasteras SK1464424:2322
6AIK1464418:1822
7Elfsborg1556420:1821
8Malmo FF1462628:2420
9GAIS1555519:1520
10Mjallby1445520:1917
11Kalmar1452718:2017
12Brommapojkarna1445519:2217
13IFK Goteborg1434717:3313
14Degerfors1424812:2410
15Orgryte1424814:3310
16Halmstad1414911:297
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)