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Malmo FF vs Sirius

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Eleda Stadion, Malmö
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Soumah M.
20'
Sub
Kurtulus B. In: Djuric A.
Out: Kurtulus B.
45'
Rosengren O.

AI Match Summary

Sirius in this Allsvenskan matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sirius.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Malmo FF
30%
Draws
34%
Sirius
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Malmo FF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Sirius have won more games recently than Malmo FF.
  • Win probability leans Malmo FF's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Malmo FF Clean Sheet 10%
Sirius Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malmo FF Sirius
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 22
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 3
Goals Scored 1.88 2.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Sirius
2:3
Oct 5, 2025 Allsvenskan
Sirius vs Malmo FF
5:1
Apr 18, 2025 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Sirius
1:1
Jul 27, 2024 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Sirius
0:1
Jul 19, 2024 Allsvenskan
Sirius vs Malmo FF
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malmo FF Compare

Top Goalscorer Haksabanovic S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Skogmar A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Sirius Compare

Top Goalscorer Soumah M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bjerkebo I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malmo FF 34 / 100
Sirius 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malmo FF Sirius

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malmo FF's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Malmo FF stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Sirius let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Malmo FF VS Sirius
1.88 Goals Scored 2.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Malmo FF

(Home)
20 Jul
Kalmar
2 : 2
Malmo FF
12 Jul
Malmo FF
4 : 0
IFK Goteborg
04 Jul
Degerfors
0 : 1
Malmo FF
26 Jun
Malmo FF
2 : 2
Midtjylland
30 May
Malmo FF
5 : 2
Halmstad
Page 1 of 6

Sirius

(Away)
19 Jul
Elfsborg
1 : 3
Sirius
12 Jul
Brommapojkarna
1 : 2
Sirius
03 Jul
Sirius
4 : 4
Mjallby
26 Jun
Sirius
1 : 1
Djurgarden
30 May
AIK
0 : 3
Sirius
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sirius13112036:1635
2Hammarby1482432:1426
3Hacken1365227:2223
4Vasteras SK1464424:2322
5AIK1363418:1821
6Djurgarden1262426:1520
7Malmo FF1362527:2220
8GAIS1454518:1419
9Elfsborg1446418:1718
10Mjallby1345419:1717
11Brommapojkarna1344518:2116
12Kalmar1342716:1914
13IFK Goteborg1334616:2913
14Degerfors1324712:2310
15Orgryte1424814:3310
16Halmstad1313910:286
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)