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Malmo FF W vs Vaxjo DFF W

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Women Eleda Stadion, Malmö
Malmo FF W Logo

Malmo FF W

3 - 0
FT
Vaxjo DFF W Logo

Vaxjo DFF W

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Lilja N.
Assist: Persson M.
45' Event
D'Aquila I.
Assist: Ivanovic M.
60'
Sub
Amano S. In: Hogh M.
Out: Amano S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan Women game between Malmo FF W and Vaxjo DFF W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Malmo FF W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Malmo FF W
20%
Draws
19%
Vaxjo DFF W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Malmo FF W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Malmo FF W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Malmo FF W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Malmo FF W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Malmo FF W Clean Sheet 68%
Vaxjo DFF W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malmo FF W Vaxjo DFF W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 2.07 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.89 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Allsvenskan Women
Vaxjo DFF W vs Malmo FF W
0:4
May 31, 2026 Allsvenskan Women
Malmo FF W vs Vaxjo DFF W
3:0
Feb 27, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Vaxjo DFF W vs Malmo FF W
2:4
Aug 30, 2025 Allsvenskan Women
Malmo FF W vs Vaxjo DFF W
3:1
Aug 1, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Malmo FF W vs Vaxjo DFF W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malmo FF W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lilja N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader D'Aquila I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Vaxjo DFF W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malmo FF W 95 / 100
Vaxjo DFF W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malmo FF W Vaxjo DFF W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malmo FF W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malmo FF W found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Vaxjo DFF W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Malmo FF W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malmo FF W VS Vaxjo DFF W
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Malmo FF W

(Home)
18 Sept
Malmo FF W
3 : 0
Djurgarden W
12 Sept
Malmo FF W
1 : 0
Eskilstuna United W
06 Sept
Hacken W
1 : 1
Malmo FF W
01 Sept
Trelleborg W
0 : 4
Malmo FF W
29 Aug
Vaxjo DFF W
0 : 4
Malmo FF W
Page 1 of 6

Vaxjo DFF W

(Away)
19 Sept
Vittsjo W
2 : 2
Vaxjo DFF W
13 Sept
Vaxjo DFF W
0 : 3
Hammarby W
05 Sept
Pitea W
2 : 0
Vaxjo DFF W
29 Aug
Vaxjo DFF W
0 : 4
Malmo FF W
22 Aug
Eskilstuna United W
0 : 1
Vaxjo DFF W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hacken W 19 17 1 1 55:13 52
2 Hammarby W 19 15 2 2 46:10 47
3 Malmo FF W 19 10 6 3 38:11 36
4 AIK W 19 9 4 6 26:27 31
5 Kristianstad W 19 8 5 6 32:29 29
6 Eskilstuna United W 19 8 3 8 18:22 27
7 Vittsjo W 19 7 5 7 24:25 26
8 IF Brommapojkarna W 19 8 2 9 25:33 26
9 Pitea W 19 6 5 8 23:28 23
10 Djurgarden W 19 5 3 11 21:32 18
11 Vaxjo DFF W 19 5 3 11 23:37 18
12 Rosengard W 19 4 5 10 20:25 17
13 Norrkoping W 19 3 7 9 17:29 16
14 IK Uppsala Fotboll W 19 1 3 15 13:60 6
Relegation - Allsvenskan Women (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Elitettan Women 2027 (Main)