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Malmo FF W vs Vaxjo DFF W

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Women Eleda Stadion
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Lilja N.
Assist: Persson M.
45' Event
D'Aquila I.
Assist: Ivanovic M.
60'
Sub
Amano S. In: Hogh M.
Out: Amano S.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan Women game between Malmo FF W and Vaxjo DFF W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Malmo FF W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Malmo FF W
6%
Draws
4%
Vaxjo DFF W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Malmo FF W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Malmo FF W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Malmo FF W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Malmo FF W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Malmo FF W Clean Sheet 68%
Vaxjo DFF W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malmo FF W Vaxjo DFF W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 18 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Allsvenskan Women
Malmo FF W vs Vaxjo DFF W
3:0
Feb 27, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Vaxjo DFF W vs Malmo FF W
2:4
Aug 30, 2025 Allsvenskan Women
Malmo FF W vs Vaxjo DFF W
3:1
Aug 1, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Malmo FF W vs Vaxjo DFF W
1:1
May 16, 2025 Allsvenskan Women
Vaxjo DFF W vs Malmo FF W
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malmo FF W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lilja N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader D'Aquila I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Vaxjo DFF W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malmo FF W 95 / 100
Vaxjo DFF W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malmo FF W Vaxjo DFF W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malmo FF W found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (30 games).

Vaxjo DFF W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Malmo FF W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malmo FF W VS Vaxjo DFF W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hacken W11100126:1030
2Hammarby W1191122:628
3Malmo FF W1163222:821
4AIK W1163219:1521
5Eskilstuna United W115249:1017
6Kristianstad W1143418:2315
7Pitea W1142512:1414
8Vittsjo W1142511:1314
9IF Brommapojkarna W1140715:2212
10Vaxjo DFF W1132616:1811
11Rosengard W1123615:179
12Norrkoping W1116410:139
13Djurgarden W112276:208
14IK Uppsala Fotboll W1113712:246