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Malmundaria vs Ethe Belmont

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup 2019/2020
Sun, Jul 28, 2019
2 - 3
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Malmundaria play Ethe Belmont in the Belgian Cup 2019/2020. Ethe Belmont are favorites here. Recently, Malmundaria averaged 1.57 goals scored and 2.86 conceded. Ethe Belmont averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. In past meetings, Malmundaria won 0, Ethe Belmont won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 28, 2019 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Malmundaria and 2.12 for Ethe Belmont. This points to a Ethe Belmont double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Malmundaria
15%
Draws
61%
Ethe Belmont
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ethe Belmont

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • Malmundaria picked up more points recently compared to Ethe Belmont.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 2.12 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Malmundaria Clean Sheet 10%
Ethe Belmont Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malmundaria Ethe Belmont
Matches Played 7 20
Wins 2 11
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.57 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.86 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.57 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.86 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2019 Belgian Cup
Malmundaria vs Ethe Belmont
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malmundaria 24 / 100
Ethe Belmont 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malmundaria Ethe Belmont

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ethe Belmont Win (2)
Secondary Pick Ethe Belmont & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Malmundaria attacking → ← attacking Ethe Belmont

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malmundaria scored in 71% of their last 7 games.

Ethe Belmont let in goals in 80% of their last 20 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Malmundaria went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Ethe Belmont lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 33
1.57 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
2.86 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38