Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Malole vs Mazembe

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Malole and Mazembe finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mazembe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Malole
20%
Draws
47%
Mazembe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mazembe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Mazembe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Mazembe a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Malole Clean Sheet 15%
Mazembe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malole Mazembe
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 9 26
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.03 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Ligue 1
Malole vs Mazembe
0:3
Jan 3, 2026 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Malole
2:0
Mar 16, 2025 Ligue 1
Malole vs Mazembe
0:1
Nov 7, 2024 Ligue 1
Malole vs Mazembe
0:0
Oct 5, 2024 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Malole
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malole 19 / 100
Mazembe 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malole Mazembe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mazembe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Malole remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Malole found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Mazembe has conceded goals in 28% of their last 36 outings.

Scoring Trends

Malole VS Mazembe
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Malole

(Home)
22 Apr
Malole
1 : 2
Sanga Balende
15 Apr
Malole
3 : 0
Blessing
02 Apr
Don Bosco
4 : 2
Malole
29 Mar
Malole
3 : 1
Tanganyika
25 Mar
Saint-Luc
1 : 1
Malole
Page 1 of 6

Mazembe

(Away)
20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Celeste
17 Jun
Don Bosco
0 : 3
Mazembe
14 Jun
Mazembe
0 : 0
St Eloi Lupopo
11 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Aigles du Congo
07 Jun
AS Maniema
2 : 1
Mazembe
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 30 23 4 3 57:12 73
2 St Eloi Lupopo 30 19 6 5 55:27 63
3 Don Bosco 30 16 8 6 43:24 56
4 Simba 30 14 8 8 33:27 50
5 Manika 30 12 12 6 31:20 48
6 Tanganyika 30 13 5 12 38:32 44
7 Lubumbashi Sport 30 11 10 9 27:26 43
8 Blessing 30 11 7 12 33:31 40
9 Sanga Balende 30 10 6 14 25:34 36
10 Saint-Luc 30 9 8 13 21:33 35
11 Malole 30 9 6 15 34:39 33
12 New Soger 30 9 6 15 29:40 33
13 Tshinkunku 30 7 10 13 23:41 31
14 Groupe Bazano 30 7 9 14 26:38 30
15 Tshikas 30 6 10 14 25:40 28
16 US Panda 30 5 1 24 17:59 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Maniema 27 13 13 1 38:10 52
2 AS Vita Club 27 13 11 3 35:13 50
3 Aigles du Congo 26 13 9 4 32:16 48
4 Dauphins Noirs 26 13 6 7 35:20 45
5 Celeste 26 12 8 6 36:13 44
6 Etoile de Kivu 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
7 Motema Pembe 26 7 14 5 33:25 35
8 Anges Verts 26 6 11 9 26:32 29
9 New Jack 26 6 11 9 20:26 29
10 AC Rangers 27 7 8 12 21:35 29
11 FC MK Etancheite 26 6 8 12 15:35 26
12 FC Renaissance 27 4 13 10 21:40 25
13 OC Renaissance 26 4 10 12 14:33 22
14 Bukavu Dawa 26 2 8 16 10:37 14
15 Martin Pecheur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)