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Malole vs Simba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Malole host Simba in the Ligue 1. This one's hard to separate. Malole have averaged 0.9 scored and 1.24 conceded recently, against Simba's 0.8 scored and 1.02 conceded. Head-to-head, Malole have won 2 to Simba's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 16, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 0.56, favoring Simba. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Malole
20%
Draws
40%
Simba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Simba have won more games recently than Malole.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Malole Clean Sheet 20%
Simba Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malole Simba
Matches Played 29 40
Wins 7 12
Draws 7 12
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 0.9 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.02
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2026 Ligue 1
Simba vs Malole
3:1
Dec 22, 2025 Ligue 1
Malole vs Simba
1:0
Mar 23, 2025 Ligue 1
Malole vs Simba
1:0
Dec 10, 2024 Ligue 1
Simba vs Malole
5:0
Oct 19, 2024 Ligue 1
Malole vs Simba
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malole 31 / 100
Simba 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malole Simba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malole Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Simba let in goals in 73% of their last 40 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Malole has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Malole's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Malole VS Simba
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Malole

(Home)
20 Oct
Don Bosco
1 : 1
Malole
22 Apr
Malole
1 : 2
Sanga Balende
15 Apr
Malole
3 : 0
Blessing
02 Apr
Don Bosco
4 : 2
Malole
29 Mar
Malole
3 : 1
Tanganyika
Page 1 of 6

Simba

(Away)
20 Oct
Simba
2 : 0
Saint-Luc
22 Aug
Simba
0 : 0
Power Dynamos
21 Aug
Simba
0 : 1
Red Arrows
20 Aug
Simba
0 : 1
Zesco
20 Jun
Simba
2 : 1
AS Maniema
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Tanganyika 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Don Bosco 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Malole 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 St Eloi Lupopo 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
6 New Soger 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 Mazembe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Sanga Balende 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Lubumbashi Sport 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Manika 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Butras 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Blessing 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Saint-Luc 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Etoile du Congo 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 FC MK Etancheite 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Celeste 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Dauphins Noirs 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
5 AC Rangers 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
6 AS Vita Club 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 AS Maniema 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Etoile de Kivu 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Anges Verts 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 New Jack 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 FC Renaissance 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Novakin 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Aigles du Congo 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)