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World

World Championship 2026 Ta'Qali National Stadium, Ta' Qali

Malta

0 - 4

Netherlands

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Gakpo C.

(Penalty)

37'

Camenzuli R.

47'

Pepe E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Netherlands in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Netherlands.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%

Malta

15%

Draws

65%

Netherlands

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Netherlands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence

Netherlands have won more games recently than Malta.
Model gives Netherlands a 65% chance of winning this.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Netherlands here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%

Malta Clean Sheet 10%

Netherlands Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Malta	Netherlands
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	7	15
Draws	5	9
Losses	17	6
Goals Scored	0.69	2.37
Goals Conceded	1.93	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	0.81	2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2025 World Championship

Malta vs Netherlands

0:4

Jun 10, 2025 World Championship

Netherlands vs Malta

8:0

Oct 10, 1995 Euro

Malta vs Netherlands

0:4

Mar 28, 1995 Euro

Netherlands vs Malta

4:0

Mar 13, 1991 Euro

Netherlands vs Malta

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malta Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62

Avg xA / game 0.41

Netherlands Compare

Top Goalscorer Reijnders T.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Depay M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.1

Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malta 10 / 100

Netherlands 86 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Malta Netherlands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Netherlands Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:3

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Netherlands let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Malta's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Malta went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malta VS Netherlands

1 Goals Scored 2.25

2.38 Goals Conceded 0.63

88% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Malta

(Home)

05 Jun

Azerbaijan

0 : 2

Malta

01 Jun

Slovakia

2 : 1

Malta

31 Mar

Luxembourg

3 : 0

Malta

26 Mar

Malta

0 : 2

Luxembourg

17 Nov

Malta

2 : 3

Poland

Page 1 of 6

Netherlands

(Away)

30 Jun

Netherlands

1 : 2

Morocco

25 Jun

Tunisia

1 : 3

Netherlands

20 Jun

Netherlands

5 : 1

Sweden

14 Jun

Netherlands

2 : 2

Japan

08 Jun

Netherlands

2 : 1

Uzbekistan

Page 1 of 6