Sport Picks

World

World Cup Women Centenary Stadium

Northern Ireland W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Malta W play Northern Ireland W in the World Cup Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Malta W averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Northern Ireland W averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Malta W won 0, Northern Ireland W won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Malta W and 1.50 for Northern Ireland W. This points to a Northern Ireland W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Malta W

20%

Draws

48%

Northern Ireland W

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Northern Ireland W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Malta W picked up more points recently compared to Northern Ireland W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Malta W Clean Sheet 16%

Northern Ireland W Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Malta W	Northern Ireland W
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	10
Draws	5	6
Losses	17	14
Goals Scored	0.9	1.23
Goals Conceded	1.93	1.67
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 World Cup Women

Malta W vs Northern Ireland W

Possession: 50% - 58% Cards: 3 - 2

2:4

Apr 14, 2026 World Cup Women

Northern Ireland W vs Malta W

Possession: 52% - 56% Cards: 0 - 2

4:0

Jul 12, 2024 Euro Women

Malta W vs Northern Ireland W

Possession: 51% - 55% Cards: 2 - 3

0:2

Apr 5, 2024 Euro Women

Northern Ireland W vs Malta W

Possession: 52% - 46% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malta W Compare

Top Goalscorer Farrugia M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ayres L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Northern Ireland W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mason E.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Johnson N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malta W 32 / 100

Northern Ireland W 45 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Malta W Northern Ireland W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Northern Ireland W or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Malta W attacking → ← attacking Northern Ireland W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malta W scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Northern Ireland W let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Malta W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Northern Ireland W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 36

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Wales W	6	4	2	0	17:5	14
2	Czech Republic W	6	3	2	1	18:8	11
3	Albania W	6	2	1	3	9:14	7
4	Montenegro W	6	0	1	5	6:23	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland W	6	5	1	0	18:5	16
2	Turkey W	6	4	1	1	11:5	13
3	Northern Ireland W	6	2	0	4	10:9	6
4	Malta W	6	0	0	6	4:24	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal W	6	5	1	17:4	15
2	Finland W	6	5	1	15:6	15
3	Slovakia W	6	2	4	8:17	6
4	Latvia W	6	0	6	4:17	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland W	6	4	2	0	24:2	14
2	Belgium W	6	4	2	0	22:1	14
3	Israel W	6	2	0	4	10:20	6
4	Luxembourg W	6	0	0	6	1:34	0