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Malumfashi vs Adamawa Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NNL 2023/2024 game between Malumfashi and Adamawa Utd finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Adamawa Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Malumfashi
15%
Draws
64%
Adamawa Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Adamawa Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Adamawa Utd come out ahead of Malumfashi on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Adamawa Utd's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Malumfashi Clean Sheet 20%
Adamawa Utd Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malumfashi Adamawa Utd
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 14
Draws 1 2
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.13 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2023 NNL
Malumfashi vs Adamawa Utd
1:2
May 29, 2022 NNL
Malumfashi vs Adamawa Utd
2:0
Apr 2, 2022 NNL
Adamawa Utd vs Malumfashi
2:0
Oct 13, 2018 NNL
Malumfashi vs Adamawa Utd
3:1
May 12, 2018 NNL
Adamawa Utd vs Malumfashi
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malumfashi 10 / 100
Adamawa Utd 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malumfashi Adamawa Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Adamawa Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malumfashi's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Adamawa Utd has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Malumfashi has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Adamawa Utd
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Malumfashi

(Home)
08 Mar
Malumfashi
0 : 3
City FC Abuja
02 Mar
Sokoto United
3 : 0
Malumfashi
06 Jan
Malumfashi
0 : 3
Sokoto United
22 Dec
City FC Abuja
1 : 0
Malumfashi
19 Dec
Malumfashi
1 : 0
Kebbi
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Adamawa Utd

(Away)
06 Jun
Sokoto United
2 : 0
Adamawa Utd
01 Jun
De Sapele Lion
0 : 1
Adamawa Utd
25 Mar
Adamawa Utd
2 : 0
Gombe
13 Mar
Kebbi
2 : 1
Adamawa Utd
07 Mar
Adamawa Utd
1 : 0
Bichi First
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Madiba 22 14 4 4 35:14 46
2 Beyond Limits FC 22 11 7 4 39:20 40
3 Edel FC 22 11 4 7 22:19 37
4 Smart City 22 9 6 7 32:23 33
5 Abia Comets 22 8 8 6 23:27 32
6 Coal City 22 10 1 11 24:25 31
7 Dakkada FC 22 7 7 8 22:25 28
8 Rovers FC 22 8 4 10 18:23 28
9 Vandrezzer 22 7 5 10 20:31 26
10 Stormers 22 7 3 12 25:32 24
11 Ekiti United 22 7 3 12 21:32 24
12 1472 FC 22 4 6 12 27:37 18
Promotion - NNL 2023/2024 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ikorodu City 20 10 6 4 29:14 36
2 Inter Lagos 20 11 2 7 34:24 35
3 Osun United 20 8 6 6 17:13 30
4 Ijebu 20 8 5 7 23:21 29
5 Gateway United 20 8 5 7 18:23 29
6 Crown FC 20 8 4 8 23:20 28
7 Warri Wolves 20 8 4 8 21:24 28
8 Solution 20 8 4 8 14:18 28
9 One Rocket 20 7 4 9 16:18 25
10 Giant Brillars 20 6 6 8 20:22 24
11 Tradesafe 20 3 4 13 13:31 13
Promotion - NNL 2023/2024 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Kanemi Warriors 16 10 4 2 20:9 34
2 Nasarawa United 16 10 3 3 20:8 33
3 Wikki Tourists 16 9 5 2 31:12 32
4 Yobe Stars 16 6 5 5 18:17 23
5 Zamfara United 16 5 3 8 15:18 18
6 Mighty Jets 16 3 8 5 15:20 17
7 Nigeria Airforce FC 16 4 3 9 10:16 15
8 ABS 16 2 6 8 5:19 12
9 EFCC FC 16 2 5 9 9:24 11
Promotion - NNL 2023/2024 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sokoto United 12 7 2 3 16:10 23
2 Sporting Supreme 12 6 4 2 18:9 22
3 Adamawa Utd 12 3 6 3 6:9 15
4 Kebbi 12 3 5 4 13:11 14
5 Mailantarki Care 12 3 5 4 11:14 14
6 Jigawa Golden Stars 12 4 2 6 9:14 14
7 City FC Abuja 12 2 4 6 10:16 10
8 Malumfashi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - NNL 2023/2024 (Promotion Group)