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Malumfashi vs Kogi United

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL 2021/2022
Malumfashi Logo

Malumfashi

2 - 1
FT
Kogi United Logo

Kogi United

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Malumfashi in this NNL 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Malumfashi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Malumfashi
15%
Draws
42%
Kogi United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malumfashi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Malumfashi have won more games recently than Kogi United.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular NNL 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Malumfashi Clean Sheet 20%
Kogi United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malumfashi Kogi United
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 1 8
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.13 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.58 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2022 NNL
Malumfashi vs Kogi United
2:1
Feb 19, 2022 NNL
Kogi United vs Malumfashi
0:0
Jul 14, 2021 NNL
Malumfashi vs Kogi United
1:0
Feb 20, 2021 NNL
Kogi United vs Malumfashi
0:0
Dec 7, 2019 NNL
Malumfashi vs Kogi United
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malumfashi 32 / 100
Kogi United 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malumfashi Kogi United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malumfashi scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Kogi United has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Kogi United registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Malumfashi VS Kogi United
1.5 Goals Scored 0.33
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.67
88% Over 1.5 33%
63% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Malumfashi

(Home)
08 Mar
Malumfashi
0 : 3
City FC Abuja
02 Mar
Sokoto United
3 : 0
Malumfashi
06 Jan
Malumfashi
0 : 3
Sokoto United
22 Dec
City FC Abuja
1 : 0
Malumfashi
19 Dec
Malumfashi
1 : 0
Kebbi
Page 1 of 6

Kogi United

(Away)
01 Jun
Kogi United
0 : 1
Plateau United
10 Jun
Hypebuzz
4 : 0
Kogi United
20 May
Mighty Jets
1 : 0
Kogi United
13 May
Kogi United
1 : 0
Abubakar Bukola Saraki
07 May
Mailantarki Care
3 : 1
Kogi United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Kanemi Warriors 18 11 4 3 30:9 37
2 City FC Abuja 18 10 3 5 23:16 33
3 Sokoto United 18 9 4 5 22:16 31
4 Yobe Stars 18 9 3 6 23:15 30
5 Mighty Jets 18 9 2 7 23:18 29
6 ABS 18 7 6 5 24:19 27
7 EFCC FC 18 8 3 7 16:19 27
8 Zamfara United 18 8 2 8 19:20 26
9 FWC Champions 18 2 3 13 11:26 9
10 Oyah Sports 18 1 2 15 8:41 5
Promotion - NPFL 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Doma United 20 12 3 5 26:14 39
2 Malumfashi 20 11 1 8 25:21 34
3 Jigawa Golden Stars 20 10 1 9 23:18 31
4 DMD 20 9 4 7 22:19 31
5 Green Beret 20 9 3 8 19:13 30
6 Adamawa Utd 20 10 0 10 18:21 30
7 Kebbi 20 7 5 8 21:26 26
8 Nigeria Airforce FC 20 7 4 9 18:24 25
9 JM Liberty 20 7 3 10 18:21 24
10 Road Safety FC 20 6 3 11 16:22 21
11 Kogi United 20 4 9 7 15:22 21
Promotion - NPFL 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bendel 22 15 4 3 32:11 49
2 Gateway United 22 12 4 6 23:15 40
3 Ibom Youths 22 9 5 8 31:27 32
4 Adoration 22 10 2 10 26:27 32
5 Abeokuta 22 9 4 9 20:19 31
6 Ekiti United 22 10 0 12 19:32 30
7 Vandrezzer 22 7 8 7 23:18 29
8 Ikorodu City 22 7 8 7 26:22 29
9 Giant Brillars 22 8 5 9 23:21 29
10 J'Atete FC 22 7 6 9 15:22 27
11 Osun United 22 8 2 12 23:33 26
12 Campos 22 4 4 14 16:30 16
Promotion - NPFL 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayelsa United 24 13 5 6 37:19 44
2 Crown FC 24 13 3 8 32:25 42
3 Warri Wolves 24 12 4 8 32:20 40
4 Rovers FC 24 12 3 9 24:20 39
5 Ijebu 24 10 5 9 27:26 35
6 Go Round 24 10 5 9 22:25 35
7 Edel FC 24 9 5 10 26:27 32
8 Abia Comets 24 10 2 12 26:28 32
9 Cynosure 24 9 4 11 23:20 31
10 Sporting Lagos 24 8 6 10 22:24 30
11 One Rocket 24 8 6 10 16:20 30
12 Apex Krane 24 7 6 11 23:29 27
13 Ottasolo 24 5 6 13 14:41 21
Promotion - NPFL 2022/2023 (Main)