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Malveira vs GD Os Nazarenos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Estadio das Seixas, Malveira
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Match Events

4' Event
Firmino H.
21' Event
Indunga S.
28' Event
Gavino H.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C game between Malveira and GD Os Nazarenos finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Malveira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Malveira
15%
Draws
0%
GD Os Nazarenos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malveira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • GD Os Nazarenos haven't matched Malveira's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Malveira taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Malveira Clean Sheet 20%
GD Os Nazarenos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malveira GD Os Nazarenos
Matches Played 30 9
Wins 10 2
Draws 10 0
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.3 0.33
Goals Conceded 1.27 2.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 0.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Malveira vs GD Os Nazarenos
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malveira Compare

Top Goalscorer Firmino H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Indunga S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.76

GD Os Nazarenos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.7
Avg xA / game 0.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malveira 85 / 100
GD Os Nazarenos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malveira GD Os Nazarenos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malveira Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GD Os Nazarenos lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Malveira scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: GD Os Nazarenos conceded in 78% of 9 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Malveira VS GD Os Nazarenos
0.88 Goals Scored 0.17
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.17
88% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 67%
0% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Malveira

(Home)
13 Sept
Sertanense
1 : 1
Malveira
06 Sept
Malveira
3 : 0
GD Os Nazarenos
29 Aug
Malveira
2 : 3
Mafra
23 Aug
Fatima
5 : 0
Malveira
16 Aug
Malveira
0 : 1
Os Marialvas
Page 1 of 6

GD Os Nazarenos

(Away)
13 Sept
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 3
Os Marialvas
06 Sept
Malveira
3 : 0
GD Os Nazarenos
30 Aug
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 3
Vitoria Sernache
23 Aug
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 1
O Elvas CAD
16 Aug
Mortagua FC
3 : 1
GD Os Nazarenos
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mortagua FC 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
2 O Elvas CAD 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
3 Oliveira Hospital 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
4 Os Marialvas 4 3 0 1 8:2 9
5 Uniao Da Serra 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
6 Naval 1893 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
7 Nogueirense 4 1 3 0 8:7 6
8 SB Castelo Branco 4 2 0 2 7:9 6
9 Fatima 4 1 1 2 6:5 4
10 Malveira 4 1 1 2 4:7 4
11 Alverca B 4 1 0 3 6:4 3
12 Sertanense 4 0 2 2 3:7 2
13 Fazendense 4 0 1 3 5:12 1
14 GD Os Nazarenos 4 0 0 4 1:10 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)