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Mamore vs Caldense

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Gleisinho
80' Event
da Silva Miguel M.
82' Event
Jhonatha

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Mineiro 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Mamore
15%
Draws
0%
Caldense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mamore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Mamore have won more games recently than Caldense.
  • Model gives Mamore a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Mamore Clean Sheet 20%
Caldense Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mamore Caldense
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 12 13
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.75 0.7
Goals Conceded 1 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2026 Mineiro 2
Mamore vs Caldense
1:0
Jun 20, 2026 Mineiro 2
Caldense vs Mamore
0:0
May 28, 2025 Mineiro 2
Caldense vs Mamore
1:1
May 14, 2025 Mineiro 2
Mamore vs Caldense
2:2
Jun 6, 2024 Mineiro 2
Caldense vs Mamore
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mamore Compare

Top Goalscorer Jhonatha
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jean
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Caldense Compare

Top Goalscorer Gleisinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader da Silva Miguel M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mamore 67 / 100
Caldense 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mamore Caldense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mamore Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caldense's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Caldense let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Mamore has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mamore VS Caldense
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mamore

(Home)
08 Aug
Democrata SL
3 : 1
Mamore
02 Aug
Mamore
1 : 2
Democrata SL
25 Jul
Uberaba
0 : 0
Mamore
18 Jul
Mamore
2 : 1
Uberaba
12 Jul
Mamore
1 : 0
Patrocinense
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Caldense

(Away)
12 Jul
Caldense
2 : 3
Uberaba
05 Jul
Boa
3 : 1
Caldense
01 Jul
Caldense
1 : 2
Patrocinense
27 Jun
Guarani-MG
2 : 0
Caldense
23 Jun
Mamore
1 : 0
Caldense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Patrocinense 10 5 2 3 7:6 17
2 URT 10 4 4 2 11:8 16
3 Mamore 10 3 4 3 11:11 13
4 Uberaba 10 2 5 3 11:11 11
5 Caldense 10 2 5 3 9:10 11
6 Varginha 10 2 4 4 9:12 10
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2025 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipatinga 10 5 2 3 11:10 17
2 North Esporte Clube 10 4 4 2 17:13 16
3 Democrata SL 10 3 4 3 9:8 13
4 Valeriodoce 10 3 4 3 12:12 13
5 Guarani-MG 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
6 Nacional de Muriae 10 2 3 5 10:16 9
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2025 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2025 (Main)