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Stadium Background

Mamore vs Patrocinense

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Ian Augusto

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 2 game between Mamore and Patrocinense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mamore.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Mamore
15%
Draws
26%
Patrocinense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mamore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Patrocinense have managed 0.67 goals a game lately — Mamore are scoring more at 0.8.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Mamore taking it.
  • Regular Mineiro 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Mamore Clean Sheet 68%
Patrocinense Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mamore Patrocinense
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 13 6
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.8 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Mineiro 2
Mamore vs Patrocinense
1:0
May 30, 2026 Mineiro 2
Patrocinense vs Mamore
1:3
Jun 16, 2025 Mineiro 2
Mamore vs Patrocinense
0:1
May 10, 2025 Mineiro 2
Patrocinense vs Mamore
0:1
Mar 19, 2017 Mineiro 2
Mamore vs Patrocinense
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mamore Compare

Top Goalscorer Ian Augusto
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Patrocinense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mamore 68 / 100
Patrocinense 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mamore Patrocinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mamore Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Patrocinense let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Mamore remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Patrocinense has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mamore VS Patrocinense
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mamore

(Home)
08 Aug
Democrata SL
3 : 1
Mamore
02 Aug
Mamore
1 : 2
Democrata SL
25 Jul
Uberaba
0 : 0
Mamore
18 Jul
Mamore
2 : 1
Uberaba
12 Jul
Mamore
1 : 0
Patrocinense
Page 1 of 7

Patrocinense

(Away)
25 Jul
Democrata SL
2 : 1
Patrocinense
19 Jul
Patrocinense
1 : 4
Democrata SL
12 Jul
Mamore
1 : 0
Patrocinense
04 Jul
Patrocinense
0 : 1
Guarani-MG
01 Jul
Caldense
1 : 2
Patrocinense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uberaba 10 7 2 1 17:9 23
2 Boa 10 5 2 3 12:9 17
3 Mamore 10 3 3 4 8:9 12
4 Patrocinense 10 3 3 4 9:9 12
5 Guarani-MG 10 3 3 4 12:14 12
6 Caldense 10 1 3 6 6:14 6
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2027 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valeriodoce 10 5 5 0 9:4 20
2 Democrata SL 10 5 2 3 19:10 17
3 Aymores 10 4 4 2 17:9 16
4 Villa Nova AC 10 4 2 4 17:12 14
5 Coimbra Esporte Clube 10 2 4 4 12:12 10
6 Ipatinga 10 1 1 8 6:33 -2
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2027 (Main)