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Manacor vs Collerense

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Vecina S.

AI Match Summary

Manacor in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manacor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Manacor
15%
Draws
39%
Collerense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manacor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Manacor lately — more wins on the board than Collerense.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Manacor have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Manacor Clean Sheet 68%
Collerense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manacor Collerense
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 18 6
Draws 6 9
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 1.87 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Manacor vs Collerense
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Manacor
2:3
Feb 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Manacor vs Collerense
1:2
Oct 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Manacor
0:1
Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Manacor
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manacor Compare

Top Goalscorer Vecina S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Collerense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manacor 41 / 100
Collerense 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manacor Collerense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manacor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manacor's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Collerense conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Manacor has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Manacor VS Collerense
1.5 Goals Scored 1.57
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Manacor

(Home)
05 Sept
Manacor
2 : 1
Binissalem
07 Jun
Manacor
1 : 3
Pena Deportiva
30 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1
Manacor
23 May
Manacor
2 : 1
Llosetense
17 May
Llosetense
1 : 1
Manacor
Page 1 of 6

Collerense

(Away)
29 Aug
Collerense
1 : 2
Santanyi
10 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 0
Collerense
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5
Collerense
19 Apr
Constancia
4 : 0
Collerense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)