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Manacor vs Llosetense

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Exposito F.

AI Match Summary

Manacor in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manacor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Manacor
20%
Draws
29%
Llosetense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Manacor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Manacor have won more games recently than Llosetense.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Manacor taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Manacor have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Manacor Clean Sheet 15%
Llosetense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manacor Llosetense
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.86 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Manacor vs Llosetense
2:1
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Manacor
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Manacor vs Llosetense
1:0
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Manacor
1:4
Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Manacor vs Llosetense
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manacor Compare

Top Goalscorer Exposito F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Llosetense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manacor 41 / 100
Llosetense 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manacor Llosetense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manacor found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Llosetense let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Manacor went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Manacor VS Llosetense
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Manacor

(Home)
12 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 2
Manacor
05 Sept
Manacor
2 : 1
Binissalem
07 Jun
Manacor
1 : 3
Pena Deportiva
30 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1
Manacor
23 May
Manacor
2 : 1
Llosetense
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Llosetense

(Away)
12 Sept
Andratx
1 : 0
Llosetense
05 Sept
Llosetense
2 : 0
Sineu
23 May
Manacor
2 : 1
Llosetense
17 May
Llosetense
1 : 1
Manacor
10 May
Llosetense
2 : 2
Formentera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)