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Managua FC vs Rancho Santana Prediction & H2H Stats

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Copa Primera Estadio Miguel Chocorron Buitrago, Managua
Managua FC Logo

Managua FC

2 - 0
FT
Rancho Santana Logo

Rancho Santana

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Gomez N.
77' Event
Gomez N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Managua FC
35%
Draws
20%
Rancho Santana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Managua FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Rancho Santana haven't matched Managua FC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Managua FC a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Managua FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Managua FC, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Managua FC have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Managua FC Clean Sheet 20%
Rancho Santana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Managua FC Rancho Santana
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 20 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 5 20
Goals Scored 2.12 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.06 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Liga Primera
Rancho Santana vs Managua FC
1:6
Jul 19, 2026 Liga Primera
Managua FC vs Rancho Santana
2:1
Jul 12, 2026 Copa Primera
Managua FC vs Rancho Santana
2:0
Jul 5, 2026 Copa Primera
Rancho Santana vs Managua FC
2:3
Mar 5, 2026 Liga Primera
Managua FC vs Rancho Santana
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Managua FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Rancho Santana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Managua FC 85 / 100
Rancho Santana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Managua FC Rancho Santana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Managua FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Managua FC scored in 94% of their last 33 games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Managua FC has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Rancho Santana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Managua FC VS Rancho Santana
3.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Managua FC

(Home)
03 Oct
Rancho Santana
1 : 6
Managua FC
11 Sept
Managua FC
1 : 1
Esteli
06 Sept
Walter Ferreti
2 : 3
Managua FC
03 Sept
Managua FC
3 : 3
Diriangen
31 Aug
UNAN-Managua
0 : 2
Managua FC
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Rancho Santana

(Away)
03 Oct
Rancho Santana
1 : 6
Managua FC
06 Sept
Rancho Santana
1 : 1
Esteli
02 Sept
Jalapa
1 : 1
Rancho Santana
30 Aug
Matagalpa
0 : 1
Rancho Santana
23 Aug
Rancho Santana
1 : 2
San Marcos
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Diriangen 2
Sport Sebaco 3
Matagalpa 5
Jalapa 4
Xilotepelt 0
Esteli 3
Rancho Santana 2
Managua FC 5
Semi-finals
Sport Sebaco -
Matagalpa -
Esteli -
Managua FC -
Final
TBD -
TBD -