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Managua FC vs Rancho Santana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Parrales F.
Own Goal
45' Event
Calero F.
90' Event
Diaz D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Primera game between Managua FC and Rancho Santana finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Managua FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Managua FC
35%
Draws
20%
Rancho Santana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Managua FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Managua FC come out ahead of Rancho Santana on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Managua FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Primera form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Managua FC have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Managua FC Clean Sheet 68%
Rancho Santana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Managua FC Rancho Santana
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 19 5
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 2.03 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Liga Primera
Rancho Santana vs Managua FC
1:6
Jul 19, 2026 Liga Primera
Managua FC vs Rancho Santana
2:1
Jul 12, 2026 Copa Primera
Managua FC vs Rancho Santana
2:0
Jul 5, 2026 Copa Primera
Rancho Santana vs Managua FC
2:3
Mar 5, 2026 Liga Primera
Managua FC vs Rancho Santana
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Managua FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Rancho Santana Compare

Top Goalscorer Calero F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Managua FC 95 / 100
Rancho Santana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Managua FC Rancho Santana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Managua FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Managua FC found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (33 games).

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Managua FC has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Rancho Santana let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Managua FC VS Rancho Santana
3.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Managua FC

(Home)
03 Oct
Rancho Santana
1 : 6
Managua FC
11 Sept
Managua FC
1 : 1
Esteli
06 Sept
Walter Ferreti
2 : 3
Managua FC
03 Sept
Managua FC
3 : 3
Diriangen
31 Aug
UNAN-Managua
0 : 2
Managua FC
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Rancho Santana

(Away)
03 Oct
Rancho Santana
1 : 6
Managua FC
06 Sept
Rancho Santana
1 : 1
Esteli
02 Sept
Jalapa
1 : 1
Rancho Santana
30 Aug
Matagalpa
0 : 1
Rancho Santana
23 Aug
Rancho Santana
1 : 2
San Marcos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Managua FC 10 8 2 0 33:10 26
2 Diriangen 11 8 2 1 24:11 26
3 Esteli 11 6 3 2 21:8 21
4 UNAN-Managua 10 6 2 2 12:7 20
5 Walter Ferreti 11 3 2 6 18:20 11
6 Sport Sebaco 9 3 2 4 9:17 11
7 San Marcos 10 3 1 6 9:16 10
8 Matagalpa 10 3 0 7 5:20 9
9 Jalapa 10 1 2 7 6:16 5
10 Rancho Santana 10 1 2 7 8:20 5
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)