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Manama Club vs Al Muharraq Prediction & H2H Stats

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Ammar A.
45'
Smeeri I.
45'
Smeeri I.

AI Match Summary

Al Muharraq in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Muharraq.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Manama Club
20%
Draws
40%
Al Muharraq
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Muharraq lately — more wins on the board than Manama Club.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Muharraq have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Manama Club Clean Sheet 11%
Al Muharraq Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manama Club Al Muharraq
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 6 26
Draws 8 6
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.03 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.93 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 1.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Premier League
Al Muharraq vs Manama Club
3:1
May 7, 2025 Premier League
Manama Club vs Al Muharraq
1:6
Dec 14, 2024 Premier League
Al Muharraq vs Manama Club
3:0
May 4, 2024 Premier League
Manama Club vs Al Muharraq
0:3
Dec 1, 2023 Premier League
Al Muharraq vs Manama Club
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manama Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Ammar A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.45

Al Muharraq Compare

Top Goalscorer Simoes E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mahrouq S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.63
Avg xA / game 0.99

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manama Club 35 / 100
Al Muharraq 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manama Club Al Muharraq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Muharraq Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Manama Club scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Al Muharraq's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Defensive concern: Al Muharraq conceded in 50% of 38 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Manama Club VS Al Muharraq
1.29 Goals Scored 1.88
1.71 Goals Conceded 0.5
71% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Manama Club

(Home)
10 Sept
Al Muharraq
3 : 1
Manama Club
05 Sept
Manama Club
1 : 5
Al Riffa
29 Aug
Aali Club
1 : 1
Manama Club
30 May
Al Najma
3 : 2
Manama Club
25 May
Manama Club
3 : 0
Al Ittihad
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Al Muharraq

(Away)
15 Sept
Arkadag
1 : 0
Al Muharraq
10 Sept
Al Muharraq
3 : 1
Manama Club
04 Sept
Al Ittifaq
1 : 0
Al Muharraq
28 Aug
Al Muharraq
1 : 1
Al Ahli
06 Aug
ZED FC
1 : 0
Al Muharraq
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Muharraq 22 16 3 3 54:17 51
2 Al Khalidiyah 22 13 3 6 40:26 42
3 Sitra 22 10 8 4 33:21 38
4 Al Riffa 22 11 5 6 39:27 38
5 Al Shabbab 22 7 9 6 23:23 30
6 Malkia 22 6 10 6 23:27 28
7 Al Ahli 22 8 3 11 32:35 27
8 Al Najma 22 7 6 9 29:29 27
9 Bahrain SC 22 6 5 11 27:41 23
10 Ali CSC 22 6 5 11 26:37 23
11 East Riffa 22 4 8 10 21:31 20
12 Manama Club 22 2 7 13 15:48 13
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)