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Manauara vs Nacional-AM (Manaus) Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense
Manauara Logo

Manauara

0 - 1
FT
Nacional-AM (Manaus) Logo

Nacional-AM (Manaus)

Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Rafa Marcos
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Manauara
20%
Draws
33%
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Manauara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nacional-AM (Manaus) lately — more wins on the board than Manauara.
  • Win probability leans Manauara's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Nacional-AM (Manaus) arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nacional-AM (Manaus), who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Manauara Clean Sheet 68%
Nacional-AM (Manaus) Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manauara Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Matches Played 41 44
Wins 17 25
Draws 16 11
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.22 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Serie D
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Manauara
0:1
Apr 25, 2026 Serie D
Manauara vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
4:2
Mar 8, 2026 Amazonense
Manauara vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0:1
Jan 24, 2026 Amazonense
Manauara vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1:1
Mar 20, 2025 Amazonense
Manauara vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manauara Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Nacional-AM (Manaus) Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafa Marcos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manauara 50 / 100
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manauara Nacional-AM (Manaus)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manauara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manauara's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 41 recent games.

Nacional-AM (Manaus) let in goals in 70% of their last 44 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Manauara remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Manauara VS Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1.14 Goals Scored 1.25
0.71 Goals Conceded 1
57% Over 1.5 63%
14% Over 2.5 25%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Manauara

(Home)
12 Jul
Manauara
1 : 3
Goiatuba EC
04 Jul
Goiatuba EC
0 : 1
Manauara
28 Jun
Manauara
1 : 1
Independencia Futebol Clube
21 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
0 : 2
Manauara
14 Jun
Manauara
1 : 0
Sao Raimundo RR
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Nacional-AM (Manaus)

(Away)
03 Sept
CSA
0 : 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
28 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1
CSA
16 Aug
ABC
1 : 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
08 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 2
ABC
25 Jul
Iguatu
1 : 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Page 1 of 9

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Manauara -
TBD -
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Amazonas 0
Manaus FC -
TBD -
Parintins 2
Princesa do Solimoes 0
Semi-finals
Manauara 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Manaus FC 1
Parintins 2
Final
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Parintins 0