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Manauara vs Sampaio Correa

Brazil Brazil

Serie D 2025 Estadio Ismael Benigno
Our Tip

Match Events

71'
Mauricio
85' Event
Peninha

AI Match Summary

Manauara in this Serie D 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manauara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Manauara
39%
Draws
30%
Sampaio Correa
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Sampaio Correa haven't matched Manauara's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Manauara Clean Sheet 24%
Sampaio Correa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manauara Sampaio Correa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 11 13
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2025 Serie D
Manauara vs Sampaio Correa
1:0
Aug 4, 2025 Serie D
Sampaio Correa vs Manauara
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manauara Compare

Top Goalscorer Peninha
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sampaio Correa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manauara 33 / 100
Sampaio Correa 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manauara Sampaio Correa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manauara scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Sampaio Correa has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: Manauara remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Manauara VS Sampaio Correa
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Lagarto2
Central SC3
Tuna Luso3
Maranhao4
ASA3
Ferroviario0
Manauara2
Sampaio Correa1
AE Altos8
Independencia Futebol Clube2
Santa Cruz4
Sergipe3
America RN3
Juazeirense1
Imperatriz3
Manaus FC2
Portuguesa1
Mixto2
Cianorte5
Joinville1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)4
FC Cascavel0
Ceilandia2
Agua Santa1
Aparecidense4
Marica3
EC Sao Jose (PA)2
Goiatuba EC3
Internacional de Limeira2
Marcilio Dias1
Rio Branco ES3
Luverdense0
1/8-finals
Central SC1
Maranhao2
ASA1
Manauara0
AE Altos1
Santa Cruz2
America RN1
Imperatriz0
Mixto1
Cianorte3
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)2
Ceilandia1
Aparecidense3
Goiatuba EC4
Internacional de Limeira1
Rio Branco ES0
Quarter-finals
Maranhao4
ASA0
Santa Cruz2
America RN1
Cianorte0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1
Goiatuba EC0
Internacional de Limeira1
Semi-finals
Maranhao0
Santa Cruz1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)5
Internacional de Limeira2
Final
Santa Cruz1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)2