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Manaus FC vs Parintins

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2025 Arena da Amazonia
Sun, Feb 23, 2025
3 - 2
07:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Renanzinho
49' Event
Perez R.
66'
Sub
Ze Augusto In: Victor Medeiros
Out: Ze Augusto

AI Match Summary

The Amazonense 2025 game between Manaus FC and Parintins finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Manaus FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Manaus FC
39%
Draws
30%
Parintins
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Manaus FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Amazonense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 61.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Manaus FC Clean Sheet 24%
Parintins Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manaus FC Parintins
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Amazonense
Manaus FC vs Parintins
1:2
Jan 13, 2026 Amazonense
Manaus FC vs Parintins
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 Amazonense
Manaus FC vs Parintins
0:0
Feb 23, 2025 Amazonense
Manaus FC vs Parintins
3:2
Apr 7, 2024 Amazonense
Manaus FC vs Parintins
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manaus FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Renanzinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Masson G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Parintins Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Peteca
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manaus FC 33 / 100
Parintins 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manaus FC Parintins

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manaus FC found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (34 games).

Parintins let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Manaus FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Manaus FC VS Parintins
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.6
63% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 20%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Amazonas-
TBD-
Manauara0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)0
Manaus FC-
TBD-
Parintins2
Princesa do Solimoes1
Semi-finals
Amazonas1
Manauara0
Manaus FC3
Parintins2
Final
Amazonas3
Manaus FC2