Sport Picks
Mancha vs Atletico Melilla
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015 game between Mancha and Atletico Melilla finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mancha.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mancha
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Mancha come out ahead of Atletico Melilla on wins alone.
- Mancha are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Mancha Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Melilla Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mancha | Atletico Melilla |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 48 | 31 |
| Wins | 19 | 2 |
| Draws | 13 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 24 |
| Goals Scored | 1.58 | 0.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 3.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs Atletico Melilla
9:0
Dec 3, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico Melilla vs Mancha
1:1
Jan 3, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs Atletico Melilla
2:0
Aug 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico Melilla vs Mancha
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mancha 85 / 100
Atletico Melilla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mancha Atletico Melilla
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mancha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Atletico Melilla conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Atletico Melilla has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Mancha scored in 71% of their last 48 games.
Scoring Trends
Mancha VS Atletico Melilla
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Mancha
(Home) 13 Sept
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0 Mancha
05 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1 Marbelli
30 Aug
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0 Mancha
10 May
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1 Mancha
03 May
Mancha
1 : 2 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
Page 1 of 10
05 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1 Marbelli
03 May
Mancha
1 : 2 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
19 Apr
Mancha
2 : 1 Huetor Vega
05 Apr
Mancha
0 : 0 Melilla B
21 Mar
Mancha
1 : 0 Mijas Las Lagunas
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Atletico Melilla
(Away) 04 Oct
Atletico Palma del Rio
5 : 0 Atletico Melilla
27 Sept
Atletico Melilla
0 : 5 Atletico Palma del Rio
12 May
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
10 : 0 Atletico Melilla
04 May
Atletico Melilla
2 : 4 CP Almeria
01 May
Almeria B
14 : 1 Atletico Melilla
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Atletico Palma del Rio
5 : 0 Atletico Melilla
12 May
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
10 : 0 Atletico Melilla
01 May
Almeria B
14 : 1 Atletico Melilla
21 Apr
Mancha
9 : 0 Atletico Melilla
13 Apr
Malaga B
3 : 0 Atletico Melilla
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Linares | 38 | 27 | 7 | 4 | 88:26 | 88 |
| 2 | Malaga B | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 69:36 | 75 |
| 3 | UD San Pedro | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 65:35 | 73 |
| 4 | Martos | 38 | 22 | 5 | 11 | 66:42 | 71 |
| 5 | Loja | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 55:36 | 69 |
| 6 | Huetor Tajar | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 53:37 | 62 |
| 7 | Los Villares | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 43:37 | 58 |
| 8 | Maracena | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 66:52 | 57 |
| 9 | Guadix | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 49:49 | 51 |
| 10 | Mancha | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 36:34 | 50 |
| 11 | Velez | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49:47 | 49 |
| 12 | Espanol Alquian | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 53:70 | 48 |
| 13 | Ejido | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55:75 | 47 |
| 14 | CD Ronda | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 52:63 | 43 |
| 15 | Antequera | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 51:55 | 42 |
| 16 | Alhaurin | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 43:74 | 41 |
| 17 | Atarfe Industrial | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 53:70 | 37 |
| 18 | Villacarrillo | 38 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 32:64 | 31 |
| 19 | Atletico Melilla | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 29:58 | 30 |
| 20 | Los Molinos CF | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 32:79 | 26 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
