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Manchego Ciudad Real vs CD Yuncos

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Manchego Ciudad Real play CD Yuncos in the Tercera Division - Group 18 2016/2017. Manchego Ciudad Real are favorites here. Recently, Manchego Ciudad Real averaged 1.56 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. CD Yuncos averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, Manchego Ciudad Real won 2, CD Yuncos won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 23, 2017 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Manchego Ciudad Real and 1.06 for CD Yuncos. This points to a Manchego Ciudad Real double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Manchego Ciudad Real
19%
Draws
14%
CD Yuncos
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Manchego Ciudad Real

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Manchego Ciudad Real picked up more points recently compared to CD Yuncos.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Manchego Ciudad Real Clean Sheet 22%
CD Yuncos Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manchego Ciudad Real CD Yuncos
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 4
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 1.56 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.97

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Manchego Ciudad Real vs CD Yuncos
4:0
Nov 27, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Yuncos vs Manchego Ciudad Real
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manchego Ciudad Real 65 / 100
CD Yuncos 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manchego Ciudad Real CD Yuncos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manchego Ciudad Real Win (1)
Secondary Pick Manchego Ciudad Real & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.2%
1.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Manchego Ciudad Real attacking → ← attacking CD Yuncos

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manchego Ciudad Real scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

CD Yuncos let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Manchego Ciudad Real went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

CD Yuncos lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 17
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1CF Talavera38258589:3783
2Conquense38236974:4375
3Villarrobledo381913675:4270
4Guadalajara382171064:4370
5Villarrubia382071161:3867
6UD Almansa381891168:5463
7Manchego Ciudad Real3817111053:4062
8Quintanar del Rey3813131261:5252
9Azuqueca381571667:5752
10Madridejos381491543:5351
11Marchamalo381481643:4950
12Almagro3813101544:5249
13Tomelloso381461846:5348
14Mora CF381371846:6646
15Albacete B3811121549:5645
16CD Pedroneras3810151346:4545
17Toledo 2381281847:6144
18Illescas381232356:8239
19UD Carrion38682437:9026
20CD Yuncos38372824:8016