Sport Picks
Manchego Ciudad Real vs Marchamalo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 
Match Events
9'
9'
Perez A. A.
30'
30'
Salazar G.
61'
61'
Picazo A.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 game between Manchego Ciudad Real and Marchamalo finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Manchego Ciudad Real.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
20%
28%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Manchego Ciudad Real
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Manchego Ciudad Real come out ahead of Marchamalo on wins alone.
- Manchego Ciudad Real are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Manchego Ciudad Real Clean Sheet 68%
Marchamalo Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Manchego Ciudad Real | Marchamalo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.68 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Manchego Ciudad Real vs Marchamalo
3:2
Mar 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs Manchego Ciudad Real
2:2
Oct 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Manchego Ciudad Real vs Marchamalo
2:1
Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs Manchego Ciudad Real
1:0
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Manchego Ciudad Real vs Marchamalo
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Manchego Ciudad Real Compare
Top Goalscorer Perez A. A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Picazo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Marchamalo Compare
Top Goalscorer Salazar G.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Manchego Ciudad Real 68 / 100
Marchamalo 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Manchego Ciudad Real Marchamalo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Manchego Ciudad Real Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Manchego Ciudad Real went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Manchego Ciudad Real's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: Marchamalo conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Manchego Ciudad Real VS Marchamalo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Manchego Ciudad Real
(Home) 04 Oct
Manchego Ciudad Real
1 : 0 UD Almansa
27 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
3 : 2 Marchamalo
20 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 1 Manchego Ciudad Real
12 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
2 : 0 Villacanas
05 Sept
La Solana
0 : 1 Manchego Ciudad Real
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Manchego Ciudad Real
1 : 0 UD Almansa
27 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
3 : 2 Marchamalo
12 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
2 : 0 Villacanas
30 May
Manchego Ciudad Real
2 : 0 Albacete B
17 May
Manchego Ciudad Real
0 : 0 CD Tarancon
Page 1 of 3
Marchamalo
(Away) 03 Oct
Marchamalo
2 : 2 CD Tarancon
27 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
3 : 2 Marchamalo
20 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 2 CD Guadalajara B
13 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 2 Marchamalo
05 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 0 CD Villa
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
3 : 2 Marchamalo
13 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 2 Marchamalo
15 Aug
Pozuelo de Alarcon
0 : 1 Marchamalo
12 Aug
CD Daganzo
0 : 2 Marchamalo
10 May
Sonseca
1 : 0 Marchamalo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchego Ciudad Real | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Villarrobledo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:1 | 11 |
| 3 | Illescas | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 11 |
| 4 | Torrijos | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 11 |
| 5 | Toledo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 10 |
| 6 | CD Villa | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 7 | Marchamalo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 8 |
| 8 | CD Tarancon | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 7 |
| 9 | UD Almansa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 10 | Villacanas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 11 | Noblejas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 12 | San Clemente | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:11 | 5 |
| 13 | Socuellamos | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 14 | La Solana | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 15 | Villarrubia | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:9 | 3 |
| 16 | CD Guadalajara B | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | 2 |
| 17 | Quintanar del Rey | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:11 | 2 |
| 18 | Huracan de Balazote | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:14 | 0 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)
