Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Manchego Ciudad Real vs Noblejas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Aijo I.
5' Event
Tukiainen S.
35' Event
Nieto S.

AI Match Summary

Manchego Ciudad Real in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manchego Ciudad Real.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Manchego Ciudad Real
11%
Draws
9%
Noblejas
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Manchego Ciudad Real

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Manchego Ciudad Real have won more games recently than Noblejas.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Manchego Ciudad Real taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Manchego Ciudad Real Clean Sheet 68%
Noblejas Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manchego Ciudad Real Noblejas
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 3
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Manchego Ciudad Real vs Noblejas
4:1
Dec 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Noblejas vs Manchego Ciudad Real
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manchego Ciudad Real Compare

Top Goalscorer Tukiainen S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Aijo I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Noblejas Compare

Top Goalscorer Nieto S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manchego Ciudad Real 86 / 100
Noblejas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manchego Ciudad Real Noblejas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Noblejas has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Manchego Ciudad Real found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Recent resilience: Manchego Ciudad Real stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Manchego Ciudad Real VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Manchego Ciudad Real

(Home)
06 Jun
Albacete B
3 : 0
Manchego Ciudad Real
30 May
Manchego Ciudad Real
2 : 0
Albacete B
23 May
CD Tarancon
0 : 1
Manchego Ciudad Real
17 May
Manchego Ciudad Real
0 : 0
CD Tarancon
10 May
Illescas
0 : 0
Manchego Ciudad Real
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Noblejas

(Away)
09 May
Noblejas
1 : 1
Marchamalo
04 May
Cazalegas
2 : 2
Noblejas
26 Apr
Noblejas
0 : 2
Quintanar del Rey
18 Apr
Manchego Ciudad Real
4 : 1
Noblejas
12 Apr
Noblejas
1 : 2
Villarrobledo
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Quintanar del Rey341713431:1564
2Albacete B341712561:3163
3Toledo34188847:1762
4Villacanas34188839:2962
5Socuellamos34169947:2457
6Huracan de Balazote341414641:2856
7CD Tarancon341510941:3155
8Cazalegas341471347:4449
9Puertollano C.F.341115839:3948
10Villarrubia3412111140:3847
11Manchego Ciudad Real341291345:3745
12CD Pedroneras3411101337:4343
13Marchamalo341251750:4741
14Azuqueca3410111340:4941
15Villarrobledo341091531:4936
16Valdepenas343131821:4822
17Noblejas34392230:6918
18Manzanares34292323:7215
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2024/2025 (Play Offs)