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Manchego Ciudad Real vs UD Almansa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Valverde M.

AI Match Summary

Manchego Ciudad Real in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manchego Ciudad Real.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Manchego Ciudad Real
15%
Draws
27%
UD Almansa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manchego Ciudad Real

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Manchego Ciudad Real have won more games recently than UD Almansa.
  • Model gives Manchego Ciudad Real a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Manchego Ciudad Real Clean Sheet 68%
UD Almansa Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manchego Ciudad Real UD Almansa
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 20 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1.34
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Manchego Ciudad Real vs UD Almansa
1:0
Jan 19, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Almansa vs Manchego Ciudad Real
1:2
Sep 5, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Manchego Ciudad Real vs UD Almansa
0:1
Feb 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Manchego Ciudad Real vs UD Almansa
0:0
Dec 16, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Almansa vs Manchego Ciudad Real
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manchego Ciudad Real Compare

Top Goalscorer Valverde M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

UD Almansa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manchego Ciudad Real 59 / 100
UD Almansa 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manchego Ciudad Real UD Almansa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manchego Ciudad Real Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Manchego Ciudad Real remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Manchego Ciudad Real found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: UD Almansa conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Manchego Ciudad Real VS UD Almansa
0.88 Goals Scored 1.33
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.83
50% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Manchego Ciudad Real

(Home)
04 Oct
Manchego Ciudad Real
1 : 0
UD Almansa
27 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
3 : 2
Marchamalo
20 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 1
Manchego Ciudad Real
12 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
2 : 0
Villacanas
05 Sept
La Solana
0 : 1
Manchego Ciudad Real
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UD Almansa

(Away)
04 Oct
Manchego Ciudad Real
1 : 0
UD Almansa
27 Sept
UD Almansa
3 : 1
Huracan de Balazote
19 Sept
Villacanas
0 : 0
UD Almansa
13 Sept
UD Almansa
3 : 0
La Solana
05 Sept
Noblejas
3 : 2
UD Almansa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchego Ciudad Real 5 5 0 0 8:2 15
2 Villarrobledo 5 3 2 0 8:1 11
3 Illescas 5 3 2 0 7:3 11
4 Torrijos 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
5 Toledo 5 3 1 1 12:6 10
6 CD Villa 5 3 0 2 6:4 9
7 Marchamalo 5 2 2 1 10:7 8
8 CD Tarancon 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
9 UD Almansa 5 2 1 2 8:5 7
10 Villacanas 5 2 1 2 6:4 7
11 Noblejas 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
12 San Clemente 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
13 Socuellamos 5 0 4 1 3:5 4
14 La Solana 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
15 Villarrubia 5 0 3 2 3:9 3
16 CD Guadalajara B 5 0 2 3 6:12 2
17 Quintanar del Rey 5 0 2 3 5:11 2
18 Huracan de Balazote 5 0 0 5 4:14 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)