Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2016/2017

UD Carrion

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Manchego Ciudad Real play UD Carrion in the Tercera Division - Group 18 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Manchego Ciudad Real averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. UD Carrion averaged 1 goals scored and 2.53 conceded. In past meetings, Manchego Ciudad Real won 1, UD Carrion won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Aug 1, 2018 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Manchego Ciudad Real and 1.06 for UD Carrion. This points to a Manchego Ciudad Real double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Manchego Ciudad Real

35%

Draws

15%

UD Carrion

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Manchego Ciudad Real

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence

Manchego Ciudad Real picked up more points recently compared to UD Carrion.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

Manchego Ciudad Real Clean Sheet 22%

UD Carrion Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Manchego Ciudad Real	UD Carrion
Matches Played	44	30
Wins	22	4
Draws	12	7
Losses	10	19
Goals Scored	1.5	1
Goals Conceded	0.77	2.53

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2018 Club Friendly

Manchego Ciudad Real vs UD Carrion

Possession: 60% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Apr 9, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Manchego Ciudad Real vs UD Carrion

Possession: 44% - 48% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Nov 12, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

UD Carrion vs Manchego Ciudad Real

Possession: 58% - 44% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manchego Ciudad Real 49 / 100

UD Carrion 16 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Manchego Ciudad Real UD Carrion

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Manchego Ciudad Real or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19%

2.38

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Manchego Ciudad Real attacking → ← attacking UD Carrion

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manchego Ciudad Real scored in 70% of their last 44 games.

UD Carrion let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Manchego Ciudad Real went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

UD Carrion lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

78 Points in last 5 19

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CF Talavera	38	25	8	5	89:37	83
2	Conquense	38	23	6	9	74:43	75
3	Villarrobledo	38	19	13	6	75:42	70
4	Guadalajara	38	21	7	10	64:43	70
5	Villarrubia	38	20	7	11	61:38	67
6	UD Almansa	38	18	9	11	68:54	63
7	Manchego Ciudad Real	38	17	11	10	53:40	62
8	Quintanar del Rey	38	13	13	12	61:52	52
9	Azuqueca	38	15	7	16	67:57	52
10	Madridejos	38	14	9	15	43:53	51
11	Marchamalo	38	14	8	16	43:49	50
12	Almagro	38	13	10	15	44:52	49
13	Tomelloso	38	14	6	18	46:53	48
14	Mora CF	38	13	7	18	46:66	46
15	Albacete B	38	11	12	15	49:56	45
16	CD Pedroneras	38	10	15	13	46:45	45
17	Toledo 2	38	12	8	18	47:61	44
18	Illescas	38	12	3	23	56:82	39
19	UD Carrion	38	6	8	24	37:90	26
20	CD Yuncos	38	3	7	28	24:80	16