Sport Picks
Manchester United U21 vs Derby U21
England
Premier League 2 Leigh Sports Village, Leigh 
Match Events
19'
19'
Oguntolu J.
Assist: Gordon I.
28'
28'
McCormack R.
29'
29'
Tola M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Manchester United U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Manchester United U21 lately — more wins on the board than Derby U21.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Manchester United U21 taking it.
- Regular Premier League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Manchester United U21 Clean Sheet 15%
Derby U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Manchester United U21 | Derby U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 6, 2026 Premier League 2
Manchester United U21 vs Derby U21
1:1
Mar 1, 2024 Premier League 2
Manchester United U21 vs Derby U21
2:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Manchester United U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Bradbury L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Derby U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Oguntolu J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Manchester United U21 35 / 100
Derby U21 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Manchester United U21 Derby U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Manchester United U21 scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Derby U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Manchester United U21 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Manchester United U21 VS Derby U21
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Manchester United U21
(Home) 16 May
Brighton U21
1 : 0 Manchester United U21
08 May
Manchester City U21
3 : 4 Manchester United U21
04 May
Crystal Palace U21
0 : 2 Manchester United U21
26 Apr
Manchester United U21
3 : 2 Sunderland U21
10 Apr
Manchester United U21
1 : 3 Newcastle Utd U21
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Manchester United U21
3 : 2 Sunderland U21
10 Apr
Manchester United U21
1 : 3 Newcastle Utd U21
07 Apr
Manchester United U21
2 : 4 Real Madrid U21
13 Mar
Manchester United U21
2 : 1 Southampton U21
02 Mar
Manchester United U21
0 : 2 Chelsea U21
Page 1 of 3
Derby U21
(Away) 27 Apr
Brentford U21
2 : 0 Derby U21
13 Apr
Reading U21
4 : 1 Derby U21
06 Apr
Derby U21
2 : 1 Sunderland U21
03 Apr
Derby U21
1 : 0 Manchester City U21
20 Mar
Derby U21
1 : 0 Middlesbrough U21
Page 1 of 6
27 Apr
Brentford U21
2 : 0 Derby U21
13 Apr
Reading U21
4 : 1 Derby U21
02 Mar
West Brom U21
4 : 2 Derby U21
23 Feb
Burnley U21
1 : 1 Derby U21
06 Feb
Manchester United U21
1 : 1 Derby U21
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea U21 | 20 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 52:25 | 43 |
| 2 | Manchester United U21 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 43:26 | 43 |
| 3 | Manchester City U21 | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 59:21 | 40 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 48:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Ipswich U21 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 45:45 | 38 |
| 6 | Southampton U21 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 36:29 | 36 |
| 7 | Liverpool U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 49:36 | 35 |
| 8 | Tottenham U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 42:32 | 35 |
| 9 | Leicester U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 48:42 | 31 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 36:31 | 31 |
| 11 | Aston Villa U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 32:35 | 31 |
| 12 | Brighton U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 38:25 | 30 |
| 13 | West Ham U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 44:35 | 30 |
| 14 | Arsenal U21 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28:33 | 29 |
| 15 | Sunderland U21 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 41:40 | 28 |
| 16 | Middlesbrough U21 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 37:28 | 27 |
| 17 | Nottingham U21 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 23:23 | 26 |
| 18 | Everton U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33:36 | 25 |
| 19 | Reading U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:36 | 25 |
| 20 | Stoke City U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:42 | 25 |
| 21 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 30:35 | 24 |
| 22 | Wolves U21 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 30:45 | 23 |
| 23 | Norwich U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 32:42 | 20 |
| 24 | Derby U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 26:44 | 20 |
| 25 | Leeds U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 28:40 | 18 |
| 26 | West Brom U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 26:41 | 18 |
| 27 | Birmingham U21 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 26:52 | 17 |
| 28 | Blackburn U21 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 27:46 | 14 |
| 29 | Burnley U21 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 22:42 | 13 |
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