Sport Picks
Manchester United U21 vs Derby U21
England
Premier League 2 2025/2026 Leigh Sports Village, Leigh 
Match Events
19'
19'
Oguntolu J.
Assist: Gordon I.
28'
28'
McCormack R.
29'
29'
Tola M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manchester United U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Manchester United U21 lately — more wins on the board than Derby U21.
- 48% — that's where the model lands on Manchester United U21 taking it.
- Regular Premier League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.2%
Manchester United U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Derby U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Manchester United U21 | Derby U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 2.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.63 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 6, 2026 Premier League 2
Manchester United U21 vs Derby U21
1:1
Mar 1, 2024 Premier League 2
Manchester United U21 vs Derby U21
2:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Manchester United U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Bradbury L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31
Derby U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Oguntolu J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Manchester United U21 95 / 100
Derby U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Manchester United U21 Derby U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Manchester United U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Manchester United U21 scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Derby U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Manchester United U21 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Manchester United U21 VS Derby U21
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Manchester United U21
(Home) 18 Sept
Manchester United U21
3 : 2 Brentford U21
31 Aug
Manchester United U21
4 : 1 Leicester U21
24 Aug
Manchester United U21
5 : 0 Ipswich U21
31 Jul
Altrincham
1 : 0 Manchester United U21
16 May
Brighton U21
1 : 0 Manchester United U21
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Manchester United U21
3 : 2 Brentford U21
31 Aug
Manchester United U21
4 : 1 Leicester U21
24 Aug
Manchester United U21
5 : 0 Ipswich U21
26 Apr
Manchester United U21
3 : 2 Sunderland U21
10 Apr
Manchester United U21
1 : 3 Newcastle Utd U21
Page 1 of 3
Derby U21
(Away) 18 Sept
Burnley U21
4 : 1 Derby U21
11 Sept
Derby U21
1 : 3 Tottenham U21
08 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 3 Derby U21
31 Aug
Derby U21
4 : 4 West Brom U21
24 Aug
Reading U21
1 : 3 Derby U21
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Burnley U21
4 : 1 Derby U21
08 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 3 Derby U21
24 Aug
Reading U21
1 : 3 Derby U21
18 Aug
Halifax
6 : 2 Derby U21
27 Apr
Brentford U21
2 : 0 Derby U21
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea U21 | 20 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 52:25 | 43 |
| 2 | Manchester United U21 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 43:26 | 43 |
| 3 | Manchester City U21 | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 59:21 | 40 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 48:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Ipswich U21 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 45:45 | 38 |
| 6 | Southampton U21 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 36:29 | 36 |
| 7 | Liverpool U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 49:36 | 35 |
| 8 | Tottenham U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 42:32 | 35 |
| 9 | Leicester U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 48:42 | 31 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 36:31 | 31 |
| 11 | Aston Villa U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 32:35 | 31 |
| 12 | Brighton U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 38:25 | 30 |
| 13 | West Ham U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 44:35 | 30 |
| 14 | Arsenal U21 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28:33 | 29 |
| 15 | Sunderland U21 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 41:40 | 28 |
| 16 | Middlesbrough U21 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 37:28 | 27 |
| 17 | Nottingham U21 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 23:23 | 26 |
| 18 | Everton U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33:36 | 25 |
| 19 | Reading U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:36 | 25 |
| 20 | Stoke City U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:42 | 25 |
| 21 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 30:35 | 24 |
| 22 | Wolves U21 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 30:45 | 23 |
| 23 | Norwich U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 32:42 | 20 |
| 24 | Derby U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 26:44 | 20 |
| 25 | Leeds U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 28:40 | 18 |
| 26 | West Brom U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 26:41 | 18 |
| 27 | Birmingham U21 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 26:52 | 17 |
| 28 | Blackburn U21 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 27:46 | 14 |
| 29 | Burnley U21 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 22:42 | 13 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Professional Development League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
