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Manchester United U21 vs Monaco II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Premier League International Cup
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Manchester United U21 at 1.93 goals for, 1.6 against; Monaco II at 1.57 for, 1.71 against. Past meetings favor Monaco II slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 11, 2022, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.56 - 0.94) back Manchester United U21 to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Manchester United U21
15%
Draws
34%
Monaco II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manchester United U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Manchester United U21 have won more games recently than Monaco II.
  • Manchester United U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Manchester United U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Monaco II, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Manchester United U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Monaco II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manchester United U21 Monaco II
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 11
Draws 4 3
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.93 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 11, 2022 Premier League International Cup
Manchester United U21 vs Monaco II
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manchester United U21 85 / 100
Monaco II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manchester United U21 Monaco II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manchester United U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manchester United U21's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Monaco II conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Manchester United U21 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Manchester United U21 VS Monaco II
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Manchester United U21

(Home)
18 Sept
Manchester United U21
3 : 2
Brentford U21
31 Aug
Manchester United U21
4 : 1
Leicester U21
24 Aug
Manchester United U21
5 : 0
Ipswich U21
31 Jul
Altrincham
1 : 0
Manchester United U21
16 May
Brighton U21
1 : 0
Manchester United U21
Page 1 of 6

Monaco II

(Away)
10 Feb
Wolves U21
3 : 1
Monaco II
20 Jan
Manchester City U21
1 : 3
Monaco II
19 Dec
Everton U21
2 : 1
Monaco II
02 Dec
Southampton U21
0 : 2
Monaco II
09 Aug
Monaco II
0 : 2
Arsenal U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U21 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 West Ham U21 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Genk U21 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Monaco II 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Manchester United U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Southampton U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Juventus U21 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
8 Valencia B 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Premier League International Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tottenham U21 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 B. Monchengladbach II 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 AC Milan U23 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Nordsjaelland U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Manchester City U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Everton U21 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
7 Dinamo Zagreb 2 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
8 Stoke City U21 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Premier League International Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brondby U21 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Dortmund II 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 Sporting CP B 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
4 Real Sociedad B 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
5 Aston Villa U21 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
6 Nottingham U21 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
7 Fulham U21 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
8 Leicester U21 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - Premier League International Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Anderlecht 2 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Brighton U21 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Crystal Palace U21 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
4 Jong PSV 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Sunderland U21 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Ipswich U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 FC Porto U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 PSG U21 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Premier League International Cup (Play Offs)